Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 2/8 thous. of net tons 2,018 1,944# 6.1 AUTOS 2/8 units 88,578 99,993r# -15.5 TRUCKS 2/8 units 161,853 157,869r# 15.4 ELECTRIC POWER 2/8 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 74,257 77,758# 4.0 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 2/8 thous. of bbl./day 13,961 13,877# -2.5 COAL 2/1 thous. of net tons 19,942# 19,985 -2.8 LUMBER 2/1 millions of ft. 526.4# 509.6 1.5 RAIL FREIGHT 2/1 billions of ton-miles 28.4# 27.4 -0.7

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 1/31 1992=100 119.6 119.0r -1.1 STOCK PRICES 2/7 S&P 500 829.7 855.7 -24.3 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 2/7 6.0% 6.0% -8.3 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 1/27 billions $5,846.4 $5,825.3 7.0 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 2/7 thous. 377 395r 1.1 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 2/7 328.8 371.1 4.5 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 2/7 5470.3 5621.6 156.2

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 2/12 $/troy oz. 356.300 382.100 19.8 STEEL SCRAP 2/11 #1 heavy, $/ton 114.17 99.83 51.2 COPPER 2/7 cents/lb. 81.5 81.2 5.7 ALUMINUM 2/7 cents/lb. 69.0 69.0 7.0 COTTON 2/7 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 54.32 52.82 64.2 OIL 2/12 $/bbl. 35.44 33.66 68.6 CRB FOODSTUFFS 2/11 1967=100 238.40 240.10 18.0 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 2/11 1967=100 258.05 256.93 15.9

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 2/12 3.6070 3.5900 2.4200 BRITISH POUND 2/12 1.62 1.64 1.43 CANADIAN DOLLAR 2/12 1.53 1.52 1.59 EUROPEAN EURO 2/12 1.0713 1.0785 0.8699 JAPANESE YEN 2/12 121.45 120.06 132.45 KOREAN WON 2/12 1199.5 1174.3 1311.2 MEXICAN PESO 2/12 10.952 10.852 9.075 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 2/12 110.5 109.7 124.8

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 2/11 1.22% 1.21% 1.72% COMMERCIAL PAPER 2/11 3-month 1.25 1.25 1.77 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 2/12 3-month 1.26 1.27 1.82 FIXED MORTGAGE 2/7 30-year 6.00 6.04 7.00 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 2/7 one-year 4.19 4.22 5.26 PRIME 2/7 4.25 4.25 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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