Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 2/1 thous. of net tons 1,944 1,982# 1.4 AUTOS 2/1 units 101,690 86,069r# 4.0 TRUCKS 2/1 units 159,457 129,545r# 9.0 ELECTRIC POWER 2/1 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 77,758 80,952# 14.5 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 2/1 thous. of bbl./day 13,877 14,161# -1.9 COAL 1/25 thous. of net tons 19,985# 20,193 -5.5 LUMBER 1/25 millions of ft. 509.6# 514.3r 0.4 RAIL FREIGHT 1/25 billions of ton-miles 27.4# 28.7 -5.8

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 1/24 1992=100 119.0 119.3r -0.8 STOCK PRICES 1/31 S&P 500 855.7 861.4 -23.7 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 1/31 6.0% 6.1% -7.1 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 1/20 billions $5,825.3 $5,798.3r 6.6 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 1/31 thous. 391 402r 2.6 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 1/31 371.1 365.5 8.9 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 1/31 5621.6 5858.1 198.4

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 2/5 $/troy oz. 382.100 369.900 27.6 STEEL SCRAP 2/4 #1 heavy, $/ton 99.83 99.83 41.6 COPPER 1/31 cents/lb. 81.2 80.8 8.0 ALUMINUM 1/31 cents/lb. 69.0 67.8 7.4 COTTON 1/31 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 52.82 51.25 67.2 OIL 2/5 $/bbl. 33.66 32.40 71.6 CRB FOODSTUFFS 2/4 1967=100 240.10 240.12 18.5 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 2/4 1967=100 256.93 255.22 16.6

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 2/5 3.5900 3.5770 2.4340 BRITISH POUND 2/5 1.64 1.65 1.41 CANADIAN DOLLAR 2/5 1.52 1.52 1.60 EUROPEAN EURO 2/5 1.0785 1.0838 0.8672 JAPANESE YEN 2/5 120.06 118.36 133.64 KOREAN WON 2/5 1174.3 1170.0 1318.0 MEXICAN PESO 2/5 10.852 10.940 9.129 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 2/5 109.7 109.1 125.5

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 2/4 1.21% 1.23% 1.64% COMMERCIAL PAPER 2/4 3-month 1.25 1.24 1.79 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 2/5 3-month 1.27 1.26 1.81 FIXED MORTGAGE 1/31 30-year 6.04 6.03 7.15 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 1/31 one-year 4.22 4.24 5.34 PRIME 1/31 4.25 4.25 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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