Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

STEEL 1/25 thous. of net tons 1,982 2,021# 5.8 AUTOS 1/25 units 87,497 102,102r# -3.7 TRUCKS 1/25 units 127,573 145,651r# 1.8 ELECTRIC POWER 1/25 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 80,952 78,453# 14.7 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 1/25 thous. of bbl./day 14,161 14,686# 0.7 COAL 1/18 thous. of net tons 20,193# 21,294 -5.2 LUMBER 1/18 millions of ft. 514.6# 512.6r 0.5 RAIL FREIGHT 1/18 billions of ton-miles 28.7# 29.1 -2.4

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 1/17 1992=100 119.5 119.6 -1.5 STOCK PRICES 1/24 S&P 500 861.4 901.8 -24.0 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 1/24 6.1% 6.2% -7.2 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 1/13 billions $5,810.3 $5,797.8r 6.6 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 1/24 thous. 397 383r 1.5 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 1/24 365.5 355.3 11.3 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 1/24 5858.1 5433.4 232.3

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

GOLD 1/29 $/troy oz. 369.900 358.500 31.0 STEEL SCRAP 1/28 #1 heavy, $/ton 99.83 99.83 41.6 COPPER 1/24 cents/lb. 80.8 79.7 8.1 ALUMINUM 1/24 cents/lb. 67.8 66.0 3.8 COTTON 1/24 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 51.25 52.40 59.8 OIL 1/29 $/bbl. 32.40 34.10 71.5 CRB FOODSTUFFS 1/28 1967=100 240.12 237.47 18.6 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 1/28 1967=100 255.22 256.16 16.4

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 1/29 3.5770 3.5340 2.4160 BRITISH POUND 1/29 1.65 1.62 1.41 CANADIAN DOLLAR 1/29 1.52 1.53 1.59 EUROPEAN EURO 1/29 1.0838 1.0731 0.8590 JAPANESE YEN 1/29 118.36 118.28 134.35 KOREAN WON 1/29 1170.0 1176.8 1311.5 MEXICAN PESO 1/29 10.940 10.805 9.150 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 1/29 109.1 110.0 125.8

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 1/28 1.23% 1.31% 1.78% COMMERCIAL PAPER 1/28 3-month 1.24 1.25 1.77 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 1/29 3-month 1.26 1.28 1.80 FIXED MORTGAGE 1/24 30-year 6.03 6.08 7.11 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 1/24 one-year 4.24 4.25 5.28 PRIME 1/24 4.25 4.25 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

# Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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