Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG STEEL 1/4 thous. of net tons 1,980 1,894# 16.2 AUTOS 1/4 units 42,499 0# -13.9 TRUCKS 1/4 units 59,963 2,010# -13.1 ELECTRIC POWER 1/4 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 69,829 69,919r# -3.8 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 1/4 thous. of bbl./day 14,826 14,924# -0.7 COAL 12/28 thous. of net tons 18,614# 22,405 20.4 LUMBER 12/28 millions of ft. 182.5# 495.3r -5.1 RAIL FREIGHT 12/28 billions of ton-miles 20.8# 29.9 7.2

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 12/27 1992=100 117.6 118.8r -1.0 STOCK PRICES 1/3 S&P 500 908.6 875.4 -22.5 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 1/3 6.2% 6.1% -6.6 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 12/23 billions $5,822.7 $5,811.3r 6.9 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 1/3 thous. 389 408r -2.3 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 1/3 376.2 332.4 0.1 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 1/3 5871.1 4548.8 244.6

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG GOLD 1/8 $/troy oz. 349.750 347.200 24.4 STEEL SCRAP 1/7 #1 heavy, $/ton 99.83 94.17r 54.0 COPPER 1/3 cents/lb. 75.1 74.4 7.2 ALUMINUM 1/3 cents/lb. 65.6 66.5 5.4 COTTON 1/3 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 52.72 53.33 65.2 OIL 1/8 $/bbl. 30.63 31.37 54.0 CRB FOODSTUFFS 1/7 1967=100 240.74 238.78 16.3 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 1/7 1967=100 250.29 249.26 13.4

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 1/8 3.3410 3.5400 2.3740 BRITISH POUND 1/8 1.61 1.60 1.44 CANADIAN DOLLAR 1/8 1.56 1.58 1.60 EUROPEAN EURO 1/8 1.0499 1.0479 0.8909 JAPANESE YEN 1/8 119.14 118.52 133.14 KOREAN WON 1/8 1181.0 1196.0 1309.5 MEXICAN PESO 1/8 10.447 10.453 9.220 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 1/8 111.8 112.0 123.6

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 1/7 1.20% 1.23% 1.61% COMMERCIAL PAPER 1/7 3-month 1.28 1.29 1.75 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 1/8 3-month 1.31 1.32 1.75 FIXED MORTGAGE 1/3 30-year 6.03 5.80 7.33 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 1/3 one-year 4.28 4.29 5.56 PRIME 1/3 4.25 4.25 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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