Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 12/28 thous. of net tons 1,894 1,942# 29.7 AUTOS 12/28 units 0 91,712r# 0.0 TRUCKS 12/28 units 2,010 148,069r# 68.1 ELECTRIC POWER 12/28 millions of kilowatt-hrs. NA 72,154# NA CRUDE-OIL REFINING 12/28 thous. of bbl./day 14,924 14,588# 0.6 COAL 12/21 thous. of net tons 22,405# 22,233 2.8 LUMBER 12/21 millions of ft. 495.8# 503.7 6.8 RAIL FREIGHT 12/21 billions of ton-miles 29.9# 29.5 0.7

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 12/20 1992=100 119.1 118.2r -1.3 STOCK PRICES 12/27 S&P 500 875.4 895.8 -24.6 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 12/27 6.1% 6.2% -9.0 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 12/16 billions $5,811.5 $5,808.0r 6.3 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 12/27 thous. NA 378 NA MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 12/27 359.4 379.9 62.9 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 12/27 4101.0 4507.6 325.6

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 12/30 $/troy oz. 347.200 343.950 24.7 STEEL SCRAP 12/31 #1 heavy, $/ton 93.83 93.83 45.1 COPPER 12/27 cents/lb. 74.4 76.0 3.5 ALUMINUM 12/27 cents/lb. 66.5 66.5 3.1 COTTON 12/27 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 53.33 51.51 65.1 OIL 12/30 $/bbl. 31.37 32.19 51.3 CRB FOODSTUFFS 12/30 1967=100 238.78 240.43 16.7 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 12/30 1967=100 249.26 249.36 14.7

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 12/30 3.5400 3.5050 2.3035 BRITISH POUND 12/30 1.60 1.60 1.44 CANADIAN DOLLAR 12/30 1.58 1.55 1.60 EUROPEAN EURO 12/30 1.0479 1.0323 0.9007 JAPANESE YEN 12/30 118.52 120.29 131.54 KOREAN WON 12/30 1196.0 1200.7 1307.7 MEXICAN PESO 12/30 10.453 10.230 9.113 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 12/30 112.0 112.3 123.2

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 12/30 1.23% 1.26% 1.52% COMMERCIAL PAPER 12/30 3-month 1.29 1.31 1.79 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 12/30 3-month 1.32 1.35 1.78 FIXED MORTGAGE 12/27 30-year 5.80 5.89 7.39 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 12/27 one-year 4.29 4.34 5.61 PRIME 12/27 4.25 4.25 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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