Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 11/30 thous. of net tons 1,864 1,941# 21.2 AUTOS 11/30 units 63,274 102,825r# -40.4 TRUCKS 11/30 units 96,378 168,769r# -34.6 ELECTRIC POWER 11/30 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 68,235 68,819# 5.3 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 11/30 thous. of bbl./day 15,243 14,957# 2.3 COAL 11/23 thous. of net tons 22,081# 22,086 14.9 LUMBER 11/23 millions of ft. 492.8# 503.0 73.3 RAIL FREIGHT 11/23 billions of ton-miles 30.0# 29.9 24.0

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 11/22 1992=100 119.3 118.1r 1.6 STOCK PRICES 11/29 S&P 500 936.3 930.6 -17.8 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 11/29 6.4% 6.4% -2.6 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 11/18 billions $5,829.9 $5,799.1r 7.6 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 11/29 thous. 355 375r -26.0 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 11/29 386.6 350.2 10.2 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 11/29 4151.9 5672.3 36.5

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 12/4 $/troy oz. 322.100 317.500 17.1 STEEL SCRAP 12/3 #1 heavy, $/ton 94.00 94.00 44.6 COPPER 11/29 cents/lb. 78.0 77.5 4.4 ALUMINUM 11/29 cents/lb. 66.5 66.8 -0.4 COTTON 11/29 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 49.42 49.34 41.4 OIL 12/4 $/bbl. 26.48 26.14 37.3 CRB FOODSTUFFS 12/3 1967=100 234.27 232.91 14.5 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 12/3 1967=100 245.04 244.59 9.9

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 12/4 3.7155 3.6100 2.4355 BRITISH POUND 12/4 1.57 1.55 1.42 CANADIAN DOLLAR 12/4 1.56 1.58 1.58 EUROPEAN EURO 12/4 1.0009 0.9937 0.8914 JAPANESE YEN 12/4 124.56 121.60 124.72 KOREAN WON 12/4 1216.5 1206.1 1269.4 MEXICAN PESO 12/4 10.285 10.177 9.247 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 12/4 115.2 115.2 121.4

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 12/3 1.24% 1.32% 1.93% COMMERCIAL PAPER 12/3 3-month 1.30 1.34 1.84 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 12/4 3-month 1.38 1.36 1.87 FIXED MORTGAGE 11/29 30-year 6.30 6.21 7.19 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 11/29 one-year 4.48 4.41 5.52 PRIME 11/29 4.25 4.25 5.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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