Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 11/9 thous. of net tons 1,979 1,969# 18.6 AUTOS 11/9 units 97,551 110,339r# -2.7 TRUCKS 11/9 units 142,793 158,020r# -7.6 ELECTRIC POWER 11/9 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 67,986 69,360# 7.6 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 11/9 thous. of bbl./day 14,842 14,814# 1.7 COAL 11/2 thous. of net tons 21,295# 21,794 -5.8 LUMBER 11/2 millions of ft. 520.3# 518.7r 10.3 RAIL FREIGHT 11/2 billions of ton-miles 29.3# 29.8 -4.2

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 11/1 1992=100 118.4 117.3r 2.5 STOCK PRICES 11/8 S&P 500 894.7 901.0 -20.1 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 11/8 6.2% 6.4% -1.3 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 10/28 billions $5,779.1 $5,754.8r 7.0 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 11/8 thous. 388 396r -12.2 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 11/8 333.3 369.5 16.8 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 11/8 4825.6 4875.1 -12.8

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 11/13 $/troy oz. 324.000 319.250 16.4 STEEL SCRAP 11/12 #1 heavy, $/ton 94.00 94.00 44.6 COPPER 11/8 cents/lb. 76.2 75.1 15.8 ALUMINUM 11/8 cents/lb. 66.3 65.0 9.1 COTTON 11/8 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 48.68 45.16 55.0 OIL 11/13 $/bbl. 24.86 25.52 27.8 CRB FOODSTUFFS 11/12 1967=100 227.84 229.50 14.2 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 11/12 1967=100 242.89 243.34 11.1

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 11/13 3.6540 3.6550 2.5350 BRITISH POUND 11/13 1.59 1.56 1.43 CANADIAN DOLLAR 11/13 1.58 1.55 1.59 EUROPEAN EURO 11/13 1.0084 1.0039 0.8814 JAPANESE YEN 11/13 120.08 121.72 122.29 KOREAN WON 11/13 1202.3 1222.0 1278.0 MEXICAN PESO 11/13 10.251 10.189 9.205 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 11/13 114.1 114.7 121.0

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 11/12 1.29% 1.64% 2.10% COMMERCIAL PAPER 11/12 3-month 1.31 1.49 1.90 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 11/13 3-month 1.34 1.53 1.96 FIXED MORTGAGE 11/8 30-year 6.22 6.25 6.59 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 11/8 one-year 4.43 4.54 5.34 PRIME 11/8 4.25 4.75 5.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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