Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 10/12 thous. of net tons 2,129 2,060# 24.4 AUTOS 10/12 units 99,240 96,299r# -5.9 TRUCKS 10/12 units 159,672 158,529r# 14.2 ELECTRIC POWER 10/12 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 69,254 72,594# 6.2 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 10/12 thous. of bbl./day 13,259 13,810# -11.6 COAL 10/5 thous. of net tons 21,099# 21,798 -1.7 LUMBER 10/5 millions of ft. 514.4# 547.8r 3.9 RAIL FREIGHT 10/5 billions of ton-miles 29.4# 30.2 -1.3

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 10/4 1992=100 118.2 118.0r 3.6 STOCK PRICES 10/11 S&P 500 835.3 800.6 -23.5 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 10/11 6.2% 6.1% -6.9 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 9/30 billions $5,731.5 $5,714.9r 6.3 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 10/11 thous. 411 389r -17.1 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 10/11 341.9 352.5 19.2 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 10/11 6793.8 6926.9 29.3

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 10/16 $/troy oz. 314.050 319.350r 11.5 STEEL SCRAP 10/15 #1 heavy, $/ton 98.33 98.33 26.1 COPPER 10/11 cents/lb. 70.6 70.4 4.0 ALUMINUM 10/11 cents/lb. 62.3 62.5 -0.4 COTTON 10/11 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 40.08 40.92 27.8 OIL 10/16 $/bbl. 29.42 29.35 37.3 CRB FOODSTUFFS 10/15 1967=100 231.85 231.10 16.2 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 10/15 1967=100 240.95 237.87 8.3

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 10/16 3.9375 3.9140 2.7220 BRITISH POUND 10/16 1.55 1.56 1.45 CANADIAN DOLLAR 10/16 1.58 1.60 1.57 EUROPEAN EURO 10/16 0.9809 0.9902 0.9022 JAPANESE YEN 10/16 124.51 123.28 121.21 KOREAN WON 10/16 1246.9 1243.5 1298.0 MEXICAN PESO 10/16 10.055 10.225 119.300 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 10/16 116.4 123.3 119.3

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 10/15 1.88% 1.72% 2.47% COMMERCIAL PAPER 10/15 3-month 1.70 1.68 2.35 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 10/16 3-month 1.77 1.72 2.33 FIXED MORTGAGE 10/11 30-year 6.12 6.18 6.79 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 10/11 one-year 4.50 4.54 5.49 PRIME 10/11 0.00 4.75 5.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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