Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 10/5 thous. of net tons 2,060 2,116# 18.2 AUTOS 10/5 units 100,308 107,981r# 4.5 TRUCKS 10/5 units 159,961 161,540r# 17.8 ELECTRIC POWER 10/5 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 72,594 72,183# 13.8 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 10/5 thous. of bbl./day 13,810 14,950r# -8.3 COAL 9/28 thous. of net tons 21,798# 21,659 -3.5 LUMBER 9/28 millions of ft. 546.7# 554.4r 3.2 RAIL FREIGHT 9/28 billions of ton-miles 30.2# 29.6 -0.3

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 9/27 1992=100 118.1 118.9r 3.4 STOCK PRICES 10/4 S&P 500 800.6 827.4 -23.1 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 10/4 6.1% 6.1% -9.6 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 9/23 billions $5,717.2 $5,704.9r 5.9 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 10/4 thous. 384 424r -20.7 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 10/4 352.5 359.4 14.2 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 10/4 6926.9 6671.4 100.2

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 10/9 $/troy oz. 318.950 322.200 9.9 STEEL SCRAP 10/8 #1 heavy, $/ton 98.33 99.17r 26.1 COPPER 10/4 cents/lb. 70.4 70.9 1.7 ALUMINUM 10/4 cents/lb. 62.5 62.5 -2.7 COTTON 10/4 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 40.92 39.53 18.0 OIL 10/9 $/bbl. 29.35 30.36 34.5 CRB FOODSTUFFS 10/8 1967=100 231.10 229.06 10.9 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 10/8 1967=100 237.87 242.73 6.7

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 10/9 3.9140 3.6600 2.7345 BRITISH POUND 10/9 1.56 1.57 1.48 CANADIAN DOLLAR 10/9 1.60 1.59 1.57 EUROPEAN EURO 10/9 0.9902 0.9866 0.9146 JAPANESE YEN 10/9 123.28 122.88 120.63 KOREAN WON 10/9 1243.5 1230.4 1313.5 MEXICAN PESO 10/9 10.225 10.105 9.525 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 10/9 116.2 116.0 118.6

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 10/8 1.72% 1.85% 2.35% COMMERCIAL PAPER 10/8 3-month 1.68 1.70 2.45 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 10/9 3-month 1.72 1.72 2.42 FIXED MORTGAGE 10/4 30-year 6.18 6.19 6.86 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 10/4 one-year 4.54 4.60 5.60 PRIME 10/4 4.75 4.75 6.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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