Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 9/28 thous. of net tons 2,116 2,116# 21.1 AUTOS 9/28 units 101,606 101,782r# -4.5 TRUCKS 9/28 units 161,540 159,297r# 12.9 ELECTRIC POWER 9/28 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 72,183 77,318# 8.3 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 9/28 thous. of bbl./day 16,312 15,070# 8.9 COAL 9/21 thous. of net tons 21,659# 21,943 -4.1 LUMBER 9/21 millions of ft. 555.5# 554.0 4.9 RAIL FREIGHT 9/21 billions of ton-miles 29.6# 30.1 -0.8

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 9/20 1992=100 119.0 119.3r 3.1 STOCK PRICES 9/27 S&P 500 827.4 845.4 -20.5 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 9/27 6.1% 6.1% -10.0 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 9/16 billions $5,705.7 $5,699.6r 4.1 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 9/27 thous. 417 412r -22.1 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 9/27 359.4 359.7 16.4 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 9/27 6 671.4 5977.2 92.8

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 10/2 $/troy oz. 322.200 325.150 11.1 STEEL SCRAP 10/1 #1 heavy, $/ton 98.50 98.50 26.3 COPPER 9/27 cents/lb. 70.9 71.7 2.5 ALUMINUM 9/27 cents/lb. 62.5 63.0 -2.7 COTTON 9/27 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 39.53 38.80 14.0 OIL 10/2 $/bbl. 30.36 30.79 39.1 CRB FOODSTUFFS 10/1 1967=100 229.06 228.46 9.9 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 10/1 1967=100 242.73 240.50 8.9

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 10/2 3.6600 3.7700 2.7345 BRITISH POUND 10/2 1.57 1.56 1.48 CANADIAN DOLLAR 10/2 1.59 1.58 1.57 EUROPEAN EURO 10/2 0.9866 0.9763 0.9146 JAPANESE YEN 10/2 122.88 122.87 120.63 KOREAN WON 10/2 1230.4 1229.0 1313.5 MEXICAN PESO 10/2 10.105 10.223 9.525 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 10/2 116.0 116.0 118.6

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 10/1 1.85% 1.75% 2.35% COMMERCIAL PAPER 10/1 3-month 1.70 1.72 2.45 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 10/2 3-month 1.72 1.75 2.42 FIXED MORTGAGE 9/27 30-year 6.19 6.22 6.86 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 9/27 one-year 4.60 4.64 5.60 PRIME 9/27 4.75 4.75 6.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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