Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 8/31 thous. of net tons 1,991 2,010# 6.3 AUTOS 8/31 units 97,051 105,228r# 9.7 TRUCKS 8/31 units 147,288 154,703r# 6.8 ELECTRIC POWER 8/31 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 80,760 84,586# 1.3 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 8/31 thous. of bbl./day 15,483 15,336# 0.3 COAL 8/24 thous. of net tons 20,268# 20,925 -11.8 LUMBER 8/24 millions of ft. 535.7# 519.1 2.5 RAIL FREIGHT 8/24 billions of ton-miles 29.7# 30.2 -0.3

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA1, SFPA2, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 8/23 1992=100 120.5 120.7r 1.7 STOCK PRICES 8/30 S&P 500 916.1 940.9 -19.2 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 8/30 6.3% 6.3% -4.1 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 8/19 billions $5,686.4 $5,672.0r 7.5 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 8/30 thous. 403 411r -2.4 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 8/30 359.7 344.7 13.3 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 8/30 5129.6 5355.4 116.9

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 9/4 $/troy oz. 313.000 311.100 15.4 STEEL SCRAP 9/3 #1 heavy, $/ton 97.00 97.00 23.6 COPPER 8/30 cents/lb. 72.8 72.1 -0.3 ALUMINUM 8/30 cents/lb. 63.0 63.0 -7.0 COTTON 8/30 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 40.54 40.42 15.3 OIL 9/4 $/bbl. 28.07 28.08 4.8 CRB FOODSTUFFS 9/3 1967=100 222.69 227.63 -2.7 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 9/3 1967=100 242.09 240.21 2.8

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 9/4 3.1150 3.1240 2.5690 BRITISH POUND 9/4 1.56 1.53 1.46 CANADIAN DOLLAR 9/4 1.57 1.56 1.56 EUROPEAN EURO 9/4 0.9919 0.9785 0.8863 JAPANESE YEN 9/4 118.02 118.88 120.72 KOREAN WON 9/4 1195.3 1197.5 1278.5 MEXICAN PESO 9/4 9.980 9.905 9.250 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 9/4 114.0 114.3 119.9

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 9/3 1.87% 1.79% 3.67% COMMERCIAL PAPER 9/3 3-month 1.73 1.72 3.37 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 9/4 3-month 1.74 1.78 3.43 FIXED MORTGAGE 8/30 30-year 6.35 6.40 7.03 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 8/30 one-year 4.56 4.62 5.81 PRIME 8/30 4.75 4.75 6.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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