Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

STEEL 8/3 thous. of net tons 1,988 2,026# 5.5 AUTOS 8/3 units 99,314 106,928r# 4.5 TRUCKS 8/3 units 149,808 132,671r# 8.0 ELECTRIC POWER 8/3 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 90,640 86,086# 10.9 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 8/3 thous. of bbl./day 15,305 15,572# 0.2 COAL 7/27 thous. of net tons 20,124# 19,602 -9.3 LUMBER 7/27 millions of ft. 541.1# 537.0r 2.1 RAIL FREIGHT 7/27 billions of ton-miles 29.4# 28.2 2.1

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 7/26 1992=100 120.1 121.3 0.2 STOCK PRICES 8/2 S&P 500 864.2 852.8 -28.8 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 8/2 6.5% 6.5% -4.7 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 7/22 billions $5,638.8 $5,623.4r 7.4 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 8/2 thous. 376 391r -3.1 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 8/2 374.0 360.5 17.5 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 8/2 5097.3 4748.8 194.6

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

GOLD 8/7 $/troy oz. 312.200 304.650 17.2 STEEL SCRAP 8/6 #1 heavy, $/ton 96.83 96.83 23.4 COPPER 8/2 cents/lb. 72.6 77.1 0.9 ALUMINUM 8/2 cents/lb. 63.8 66.0 -4.1 COTTON 8/2 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb 42.59 41.86 9.2 OIL 8/7 $/bbl. 26.26 26.75 -3.4 CRB FOODSTUFFS 8/6 1967=100 219.92 219.66 -4.5 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 8/6 1967=100 240.20 242.58 0.8

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 8/7 3.0175 3.4600 2.4687 BRITISH POUND 8/7 1.54 1.56 1.42 CANADIAN DOLLAR 8/7 1.58 1.58 1.53 EUROPEAN EURO 8/7 0.9748 0.9776 0.8805 JAPANESE YEN 8/7 120.17 119.85 123.60 KOREAN WON 8/7 1203.4 1188.0 1280.0 MEXICAN PESO 8/7 9.740 9.870 9.095 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 8/7 115.8 115.3 120.6

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 8/6 1.74% 1.71% 3.69% COMMERCIAL PAPER 8/6 3-month 1.68 1.74 3.51 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 8/7 3-month 1.70 1.78 3.56 FIXED MORTGAGE 8/2 30-year 6.53 6.45 7.18 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 8/2 one-year 4.64 4.58 5.93 PRIME 8/2 4.75 4.75 6.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

# Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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