Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 7/13 thous. of net tons 1,918 1,920# 7.5 AUTOS 7/13 units 45,039 12,145r# 27.6 TRUCKS 7/13 units 26,825 26,162r# -32.9 ELECTRIC POWER 7/13 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 80,850 81,302# 3.4 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 7/13 thous. of bbl./day 15,564 15,621# 0.6 COAL 7/6 thous. of net tons 16,448# 19,558 -6.8 LUMBER 7/6 millions of ft. 329.0# 530.7r 11.7 RAIL FREIGHT 7/6 billions of ton-miles 23.8# 28.7 3.0

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 7/5 1992=100 123.4 123.3 3.2 STOCK PRICES 7/12 S&P 500 921.4 989.0 -24.2 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 7/12 6.5% 6.6% -4.7 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 7/1 billions $5,606.8 $5,591.4r 7.2 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 7/12 thous. 379 407r -9.1 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 7/12 377.1 408.0 21.5 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 7/12 2729.5 2616.6 96.7

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 7/17 $/troy oz. 316.150 314.800 17.7 STEEL SCRAP 7/16 #1 heavy, $/ton 97.00 97.00 23.3 COPPER 7/12 cents/lb. 79.1 79.9 6.2 ALUMINUM 7/12 cents/lb. 66.3 66.5 -3.3 COTTON 7/12 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 41.56 41.82 7.0 OIL 7/17 $/bbl. 27.67 26.60 12.1 CRB FOODSTUFFS 7/16 1967=100 218.24 216.75 -2.1 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 7/16 1967=100 245.67 246.98 1.1

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 7/17 2.8960 2.8485 2.5010 BRITISH POUND 7/17 1.57 1.55 1.42 CANADIAN DOLLAR 7/17 1.54 1.52 1.54 EUROPEAN EURO 7/17 1.0074 0.9892 0.8735 JAPANESE YEN 7/17 116.32 117.66 123.90 KOREAN WON 7/17 1171.9 1177.5 1307.0 MEXICAN PESO 7/17 9.687 9.836 9.215 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 7/17 112.3 113.1 121.4

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 7/16 1.72% 1.72% 3.71% COMMERCIAL PAPER 7/16 3-month 1.74 1.76 3.59 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 7/17 3-month 1.80 1.80 3.67 FIXED MORTGAGE 7/12 30-year 6.60 6.66 7.34 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 7/12 one-year 4.72 4.79 6.05 PRIME 7/12 4.75 4.75 6.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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