Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 7/6 thous. of net tons 1,920 1,922# 4.2 AUTOS 7/6 units 13,761 110,471r# -21.4 TRUCKS 7/6 units 26,306 157,780r# -26.4 ELECTRIC POWER 7/6 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 81,302 80,865# 12.1 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 7/6 thous. of bbl./day 15,621 15,586# -1.0 COAL 6/29 thous. of net tons 19,558# 19,054 -11.1 LUMBER 6/29 millions of ft. 525.2# 576.1 1.3 RAIL FREIGHT 6/29 billions of ton-miles 28.7# 28.3 0.7

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 6/28 1992=100 123.3 123.9r 2.8 STOCK PRICES 7/5 S&P 500 989.0 989.8 -16.9 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 7/5 6.6% 6.6% -4.3 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 6/24 billions $5,590.9 $5,580.4r 7.3 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 7/5 thous. 403 387r -10.2 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 7/5 408.0 377.9 35.8 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 7/5 2616.6 2632.5 118.1

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 7/10 $/troy oz. 314.800 314.500 17.7 STEEL SCRAP 7/9 #1 heavy, $/ton 97.00 97.00 23.3 COPPER 7/5 cents/lb. 79.9 79.3 6.9 ALUMINUM 7/5 cents/lb. 66.5 65.3 -4.0 COTTON 7/5 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 41.82 41.45 10.9 OIL 7/10 $/bbl. 26.60 26.61 -0.7 CRB FOODSTUFFS 7/9 1967=100 216.75 215.87 -1.3 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 7/9 1967=100 246.98 246.35 0.5

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 7/10 2.8485 2.9010 2.5480 BRITISH POUND 7/10 1.55 1.54 1.41 CANADIAN DOLLAR 7/10 1.52 1.53 1.53 EUROPEAN EURO 7/10 0.9892 0.9865 0.8593 JAPANESE YEN 7/10 117.66 119.85 124.39 KOREAN WON 7/10 1177.5 1205.8 1306.5 MEXICAN PESO 7/10 9.836 9.967 9.235 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 7/10 113.1 114.1 121.6

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 7/9 1.72% 1.83% 3.71% COMMERCIAL PAPER 7/9 3-month 1.76 1.75 3.62 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 7/10 3-month 1.80 1.81 3.68 FIXED MORTGAGE 7/5 30-year 6.66 6.65 7.42 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 7/5 one-year 4.79 4.78 6.13 PRIME 7/5 4.75 4.75 6.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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