Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

STEEL 6/29 thous. of net tons 1,922 1,998# 3.7 AUTOS 6/29 units 110,468 107,371r# 3.9 TRUCKS 6/29 units 157,728 153,127r# 20.9 ELECTRIC POWER 6/29 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 80,865 74,486# 6.8 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 6/29 thous. of bbl./day 15,586 15,272# -1.5 COAL 6/22 thous. of net tons 19,054# 20,436 -14.1 LUMBER 6/22 millions of ft. 576.1# 540.3r 8.8 RAIL FREIGHT 6/22 billions of ton-miles 28.3# 28.9 0.0

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 6/21 1992=100 124.0 122.5r 3.1 STOCK PRICES 6/28 S&P 500 989.8 989.1 -19.2 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 6/28 6.6% 6.5% -4.3 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 6/17 billions $5,580.3 $5,553.4r 6.9 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 6/28 thous. 382 393r -5.2 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 6/28 377.9 396.5 22.6 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 6/28 2632.5 2504.8 73.0

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

GOLD 7/2 $/troy oz. 314.500 321.550 17.5 STEEL SCRAP 7/2 #1 heavy, $/ton 97.00 97.00 26.0 COPPER 6/28 cents/lb. 79.3 79.5 4.9 ALUMINUM 6/28 cents/lb. 65.3 65.5 -5.8 COTTON 6/28 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 41.45 31.05 9.6 OIL 7/2 $/bbl. 26.61 26.56 2.1 CRB FOODSTUFFS 7/2 1967=100 215.87 212.31 -0.2 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 7/2 1967=100 246.35 245.72 0.2

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 7/2 2.9010 2.8805 2.3495 BRITISH POUND 7/2 1.54 1.53 1.41 CANADIAN DOLLAR 7/2 1.53 1.51 1.51 EUROPEAN EURO 7/2 0.9865 0.9826 0.8478 JAPANESE YEN 7/2 119.85 120.05 124.40 KOREAN WON 7/2 1205.8 1203.8 1293.0 MEXICAN PESO 7/2 9.967 9.947 9.055 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 7/2 114.1 114.0 122.0

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 7/1 1.83% 1.75% 4.11% COMMERCIAL PAPER 7/1 3-month 1.75 1.74 3.69 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 7/2 3-month 1.81 1.80 3.75 FIXED MORTGAGE 6/28 30-year 6.65 6.66 7.28 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 6/28 one-year 4.78 4.86 6.05 PRIME 6/28 4.75 4.75 6.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

# Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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