Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 5/11 thous. of net tons 1,909 1,890# 4.8 AUTOS 5/11 units 109,425 116,001r# -4.4 TRUCKS 5/11 units 156,872 155,450r# 6.4 ELECTRIC POWER 5/11 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 66,461 65,413# 3.4 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 5/11 thous. of bbl./day 15,024 15,145# -1.2 COAL 5/4 thous. of net tons 19,971# 20,130 -9.5 LUMBER 5/4 millions of ft. 511.5# 536.5r 1.9 RAIL FREIGHT 5/4 billions of ton-miles 27.9# 28.2 -1.4

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 5/3 1992=100 122.6 122.1r 1.8 STOCK PRICES 5/10 S&P 500 1055.0 1073.4 -15.3 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 5/10 6.7% 6.7% -4.8 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 4/29 billions $5,498.3 $5,471.5r 7.0 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 5/10 thous. 418 416r 6.6 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 5/10 356.5 382.7 10.7 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 5/10 1556.2 1749.9 -20.1

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 5/15 $/troy oz. 308.300 310.500 13.8 STEEL SCRAP 5/14 #1 heavy, $/ton 83.50 83.50 10.1 COPPER 5/10 cents/lb. 76.5 76.9 -4.7 ALUMINUM 5/10 cents/lb. 66.5 67.0 -10.1 COTTON 5/10 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 30.23 30.24 -27.8 OIL 5/15 $/bbl. 27.81 27.54 -3.4 CRB FOODSTUFFS 5/14 1967=100 196.11 191.37 -7.7 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 5/14 1967=100 231.76 228.46 -5.5

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 5/15 2.5050 2.4492 2.3195 BRITISH POUND 5/15 1.46 1.46 1.43 CANADIAN DOLLAR 5/15 1.55 1.57 1.54 EUROPEAN EURO 5/15 0.9127 0.9079 0.8836 JAPANESE YEN 5/15 127.53 128.51 123.57 KOREAN WON 5/15 1264.8 1279.5 1309.0 MEXICAN PESO 5/15 9.463 9.455 9.150 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 5/15 120.6 121.3 120.5

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 5/14 1.69% 1.72% 4.22% COMMERCIAL PAPER 5/14 3-month 1.81 1.82 3.95 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 5/15 3-month 1.84 1.80 3.96 FIXED MORTGAGE 5/10 30-year 6.90 6.88 7.23 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 5/10 one-year 5.10 5.13 6.11 PRIME 5/10 4.75 4.75 7.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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