Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 4/27 thous. of net tons 1,857 1,874# -5.9 AUTOS 4/27 units 114,989 107,603r# 2.7 TRUCKS 4/27 units 158,256 154,209r# 8.8 ELECTRIC POWER 4/27 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 64,653 67,880# 5.2 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 4/27 thous. of bbl./day 15,117 14,873# -3.1 COAL 4/20 thous. of net tons 19,921# 19,864 -12.0 LUMBER 4/20 millions of ft. 534.1# 533.2 11.6 RAIL FREIGHT 4/20 billions of ton-miles 27.7# 27.5 -2.5

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 4/19 1992=100 121.8 121.0r 3.4 STOCK PRICES 4/26 S&P 500 1076.3 1125.2 -14.1 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 4/26 6.7% 6.8% -3.2 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 4/15 billions $5,468.9 $5,472.7r 6.1 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 4/26 thous. 418 428r -1.6 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 4/26 368.4 351.6 18.9 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 4/26 1533.5 1320.6 -30.4

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 5/1 $/troy oz. 308.350 304.200 16.8 STEEL SCRAP 4/30 #1 heavy, $/ton 83.50 83.50 10.1 COPPER 4/26 cents/lb. 77.6 76.7 -3.4 ALUMINUM 4/26 cents/lb. 67.5 66.3 -8.2 COTTON 4/26 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 32.06 32.93 -24.1 OIL 5/1 $/bbl. 26.48 26.00 -3.6 CRB FOODSTUFFS 4/30 1967=100 192.86 196.16 -6.1 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 4/30 1967=100 227.92 230.48 -6.7

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 5/1 2.3690 2.3620 2.2330 BRITISH POUND 5/1 1.46 1.45 1.43 CANADIAN DOLLAR 5/1 1.56 1.56 1.53 EUROPEAN EURO 5/1 0.9035 0.8984 0.8942 JAPANESE YEN 5/1 127.96 128.29 121.43 KOREAN WON 5/1 1287.5 1293.5 1306.5 MEXICAN PESO 5/1 9.400 9.345 9.280 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 5/1 120.6 125.0 119.4

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 4/30 1.82% 1.71% 4.61% COMMERCIAL PAPER 4/30 3-month 1.77 1.76 4.17 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 5/1 3-month 1.80 1.84 4.20 FIXED MORTGAGE 4/26 30-year 6.94 7.02 7.26 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 4/26 one-year 5.17 5.20 6.13 PRIME 4/26 4.75 4.75 7.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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