Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 4/20 thous. of net tons 1,874 1,916# -2.7 AUTOS 4/20 units 113,326 116,989r# 19.8 TRUCKS 4/20 units 157,375 155,481r# 35.8 ELECTRIC POWER 4/20 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 67,880 62,709# 6.9 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 4/20 thous. of bbl./day 14,873 14,946# -1.5 COAL 4/13 thous. of net tons 19,864# 19,742 -9.0 LUMBER 4/13 millions of ft. 533.2# 528.5 8.4 RAIL FREIGHT 4/13 billions of ton-miles 27.5# 27.2 0.7

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 4/12 1992=100 121.1 121.4r 3.1 STOCK PRICES 4/19 S&P 500 1125.2 1111.0 -4.9 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 4/19 6.8% 6.7% -1.5 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 4/8 billions $5,470.8 $5,494.7 6.6 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 4/19 thous. 421 452r 7.9 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 4/19 351.6 337.3 18.8 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 4/19 1320.6 1246.1 -39.5

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 4/24 $/troy oz. 304.200 300.850 17.5 STEEL SCRAP 4/23 #1 heavy, $/ton 83.50 83.50 10.1 COPPER 4/19 cents/lb. 76.7 76.2 -4.7 ALUMINUM 4/19 cents/lb. 66.3 66.0 -7.3 COTTON 4/19 strict low middling OIL 4/24 $/bbl. 26.00 25.79 -5.9 CRB FOODSTUFFS 4/23 1967=100 196.16 194.03 -3.5 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 4/23 1967=100 230.48 231.11 -6.2

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 4/24 2.3620 2.3210 2.1810 BRITISH POUND 4/24 1.45 1.45 1.43 CANADIAN DOLLAR 4/24 1.56 1.57 1.56 EUROPEAN EURO 4/24 0.8984 0.8900 0.8827 JAPANESE YEN 4/24 128.29 130.01 122.14 KOREAN WON 4/24 1293.5 1308.2 1312.5 MEXICAN PESO 4/24 9.345 9.233 9.245 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 4/24 125.0 122.7 120.8

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 4/23 1.71% 1.68% 4.99% COMMERCIAL PAPER 4/23 3-month 1.76 1.82 4.62 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 4/24 3-month 1.84 1.85 4.41 FIXED MORTGAGE 4/19 30-year 7.02 7.08 7.22 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 4/19 one-year 5.20 5.35 6.20 PRIME 4/19 4.75 4.75 8.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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