Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 4/13 thous. of net tons 1,916 1,908# -0.5 AUTOS 4/13 units 116,443 101,697r# 23.1 TRUCKS 4/13 units 155,703 127,845r# 34.4 ELECTRIC POWER 4/13 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 62,709 64,302# -1.3 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 4/13 thous. of bbl./day 14,946 14,731# -1.1 COAL 4/6 thous. of net tons 19,742# 20,140 -9.5 LUMBER 4/6 millions of ft. 528.5# 523.1r 7.4 RAIL FREIGHT 4/6 billions of ton-miles 27.2# 28.0 -2.9

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 4/5 1992=100 121.6 121.3r 3.1 STOCK PRICES 4/12 S&P 500 1111.0 1122.7 -6.1 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 4/12 6.7% 6.8% -2.0 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 4/1 billions $5,494.7 $5,490.4r 7.1 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 4/12 thous. 445 444r 14.1 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 4/12 337.3 332.8 14.0 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 4/12 1246.1 1213.5 -42.9

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 4/17 $/troy oz. 300.850 298.000 16.2 STEEL SCRAP 4/16 #1 heavy, $/ton 83.50 83.50 10.1 COPPER 4/12 cents/lb. 76.2 77.2 -5.3 ALUMINUM 4/12 cents/lb. 66.0 66.5 -7.7 COTTON 4/12 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 34.05 34.83 -23.6 OIL 4/17 $/bbl. 25.79 25.94 -6.6 CRB FOODSTUFFS 4/16 1967=100 194.03 199.82 -4.6 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 4/16 1967=100 231.11 228.59 -5.9

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 4/17 2.3210 2.2725 2.1810 BRITISH POUND 4/17 1.45 1.44 1.43 CANADIAN DOLLAR 4/17 1.57 1.59 1.56 EUROPEAN EURO 4/17 0.8900 0.8837 0.8827 JAPANESE YEN 4/17 130.01 131.55 122.14 KOREAN WON 4/17 1308.2 1330.5 1312.5 MEXICAN PESO 4/17 9.233 9.085 9.245 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 4/17 122.7 123.8 120.8

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 4/16 1.68% 1.68% 4.99% COMMERCIAL PAPER 4/16 3-month 1.82 1.84 4.62 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 4/17 3-month 1.85 1.88 4.41 FIXED MORTGAGE 4/12 30-year 7.08 7.21 7.22 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 4/12 one-year 5.35 5.46 6.20 PRIME 4/12 4.75 4.75 8.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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