Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 2/2 thous. of net tons 1,917 1,873# 3.7 AUTOS 2/2 units 102,811 90,856r# 21.1 TRUCKS 2/2 units 148,093 125,306r# 38.6 ELECTRIC POWER 2/2 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 67,937 70,575# -8.2 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 2/2 thous. of bbl./day 14,144 14,064# -4.4 COAL 1/26 thous. of net tons 21,152# 21,309 -9.2 LUMBER 1/26 millions of ft. 508.6# 512.1 13.2 RAIL FREIGHT 1/26 billions of ton-miles 28.9# 29.1 0.7

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 1/25 1992=100 119.4 121.0r -1.8 STOCK PRICES 2/1 S&P 500 1122.2 1133.3 -17.2 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 2/1 6.5% 6.6% -4.1 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 1/21 billions $5,465.2 $5,450.2 9.6 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 2/1 thous. 376 391r 8.7 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 2/1 340.9 328.5 14.4 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 2/1 1884.2 1762.9 -5.4

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 2/6 $/troy oz. 299.500 282.300 13.2 STEEL SCRAP 2/5 #1 heavy, $/ton 70.50 70.50 -100.0 COPPER 2/1 cents/lb. 75.2 74.8 -15.2 ALUMINUM 2/1 cents/lb. 64.3 65.3 -17.6 COTTON 2/1 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 31.59 32.07 -45.4 OIL 2/6 $/bbl. 19.62 18.89 -30.8 CRB FOODSTUFFS 2/5 1967=100 202.70 202.40 4.7 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 2/5 1967=100 220.42 219.29 -12.5

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 2/6 2.4340 2.4160 1.9711 BRITISH POUND 2/6 1.41 1.41 1.46 CANADIAN DOLLAR 2/6 1.60 1.59 1.50 EUROPEAN EURO 2/6 0.8672 0.8590 0.9369 JAPANESE YEN 2/6 133.64 134.35 116.46 KOREAN WON 2/6 1318.0 1311.5 1257.0 MEXICAN PESO 2/6 9.129 9.150 9.665 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 2/6 125.5 125.8 115.3

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 2/5 1.64% 1.78% 5.90% COMMERCIAL PAPER 2/5 3-month 1.79 1.77 5.40 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 2/6 3-month 1.81 1.80 5.36 FIXED MORTGAGE 2/1 30-year 7.15 7.11 7.34 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 2/1 one-year 5.34 5.28 6.57 PRIME 2/1 4.75 4.75 9.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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