Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 12/29 thous. of net tons 1,460 1,381r# -13.1 AUTOS 12/29 units 0 93,300# -100.0 TRUCKS 12/29 units 0 135,069# -100.0 ELECTRIC POWER 12/29 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 66,970 68,098# -13.3 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 12/29 thous. of bbl./day 14,841 14,550# -2.1 COAL 12/22 thous. of net tons 21,799# 21,799 1.0 LUMBER 12/22 millions of ft. 478.2# 485.9 7.9 RAIL FREIGHT 12/22 billions of ton-miles 30.7# 30.1 12.9

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 12/21 1992=100 120.5 118.7r 1.4 STOCK PRICES 12/28 S&P 500 1161.0 1144.9 -11.1 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 12/28 6.7% 6.6% -1.8 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 12/17 billions $5,467.7 $5,440.6r 11.3 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 12/28 thous. 447 411r 24.5 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 12/28 220.6 373.5 -20.7 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 12/28 963.5 1564.4 21.3

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 1/2 $/troy oz. 278.350 277.700 1.2 STEEL SCRAP 1/1 #1 heavy, $/ton 64.67 64.67 -17.1 COPPER 12/28 cents/lb. 71.9 71.7 -20.9 ALUMINUM 12/28 cents/lb. 64.5 63.8 -14.6 COTTON 12/28 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 32.31 33.07 -47.5 OIL 1/2 $/bbl. 20.73 21.00 -21.0 CRB FOODSTUFFS 12/31 1967=100 204.61 203.84 11.3 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 12/31 1967=100 217.33 219.27 -15.3

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 1/2 2.3035 2.3245 1.9550 BRITISH POUND 1/2 1.44 1.45 1.50 CANADIAN DOLLAR 1/2 1.60 1.60 1.51 EUROPEAN EURO 1/2 0.9007 0.8807 0.9304 JAPANESE YEN 1/2 131.54 130.89 114.32 KOREAN WON 1/2 1307.7 1311.0 1258.5 MEXICAN PESO 1/2 9.113 9.135 9.575 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 1/2 123.2 124.0 114.7

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 1/1 1.52% 1.68% 6.58% COMMERCIAL PAPER 12/31 3-month 1.79 1.86 6.26 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 1/2 3-month 1.78 1.84 6.33 FIXED MORTGAGE 12/28 30-year 7.39 7.37 7.44 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 12/28 one-year 5.61 5.56 6.99 PRIME 12/28 4.75 4.75 9.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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