Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 12/8 thous. of net tons 1,501 1,538# -21.1 AUTOS 12/8 units 111,658 106,143r# -6.6 TRUCKS 12/8 units 155,935 147,287r# 10.9 ELECTRIC POWER 12/8 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 66,574 64,803# -10.9 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 12/8 thous. of bbl./day 14,670 14,906# -3.8 COAL 12/1 thous. of net tons 21,533# 19,221 -7.7 LUMBER 12/1 millions of ft. 489.0# 284.4r 3.9 RAIL FREIGHT 12/1 billions of ton-miles 30.1# 24.9 -2.3

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 11/30 1992=100 118.4 117.3r -2.6 STOCK PRICES 12/7 S&P 500 1158.3 1139.5 -15.4 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 12/7 6.9% 6.6% -1.4 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 11/26 billions $5,427.5 $5,418.0r 10.8 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 12/7 thous. 394 480r 23.1 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 12/7 342.7 350.9 -0.4 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 12/7 2731.6 3040.7 260.2

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 12/12 $/troy oz. 273.500 275.000 1.4 STEEL SCRAP 12/11 #1 heavy, $/ton 64.67 65.00 -16.7 COPPER 12/7 cents/lb. 73.4 74.7 -20.0 ALUMINUM 12/7 cents/lb. 66.3 66.8 -8.9 COTTON 12/7 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 33.62 34.94 -47.2 OIL 12/12 $/bbl. 18.08 19.28 -37.6 CRB FOODSTUFFS 12/11 1967=100 202.33 204.68 9.6 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 12/11 1967=100 224.67 223.00 -11.9

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 12/12 2.3865 2.4355 1.9650 BRITISH POUND 12/12 1.45 1.42 1.46 CANADIAN DOLLAR 12/12 1.57 1.58 1.52 EUROPEAN EURO 12/12 0.8979 0.8914 0.8771 JAPANESE YEN 12/12 126.32 124.72 112.35 KOREAN WON 12/12 1265.5 1269.4 1190.5 MEXICAN PESO 12/12 9.130 9.247 9.405 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 12/12 121.3 121.4 116.9

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 12/11 1.80% 1.93% 6.43% COMMERCIAL PAPER 12/11 3-month 1.72 1.84 6.35 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 12/12 3-month 1.76 1.87 6.50 FIXED MORTGAGE 12/7 30-year 7.09 7.19 7.67 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 12/7 one-year 5.49 5.52 7.21 PRIME 12/7 5.00 5.00 9.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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