Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 11/24 thous. of net tons 1,576 1,573# -15.6 AUTOS 11/24 units 64,793 91,126r# -33.1 TRUCKS 11/24 units 89,775 125,421r# -24.0 ELECTRIC POWER 11/24 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 61,919 64,374# -9.6 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 11/24 thous. of bbl./day 14,871 14,654# -1.2 COAL 11/17 thous. of net tons 21,374# 22,285 -0.7 LUMBER 11/17 millions of ft. 513.1# 459.8 4.0 RAIL FREIGHT 11/17 billions of ton-miles 31.0# 31.1 4.7

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 11/16 1992=100 117.1 115.6r -3.9 STOCK PRICES 11/23 S&P 500 1150.3 1138.7 -15.9 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 11/23 6.7% 6.7% -10.4 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 11/12 billions $5,428.1 $5,422.2r 10.9 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 11/23 thous. 488 434r 44.0 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 11/23 324.3 296.0 5.6 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 11/23 4283.6 4998.3 610.7

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 11/28 $/troy oz. 274.400 272.950 3.1 STEEL SCRAP 11/27 #1 heavy, $/ton 65.00 65.00 -12.6 COPPER 11/23 cents/lb. 71.8 71.3 -17.0 ALUMINUM 11/23 cents/lb. 65.5 64.5 -6.4 COTTON 11/23 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 33.54 34.17 -46.4 OIL 11/28 $/bbl. 18.97 18.25 -46.7 CRB FOODSTUFFS 11/27 1967=100 223.16 201.58 18.3 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 11/27 1967=100 204.00 220.25 -18.8

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 11/28 2.5005 2.5511 1.9200 BRITISH POUND 11/28 1.42 1.42 1.42 CANADIAN DOLLAR 11/28 1.58 1.59 1.55 EUROPEAN EURO 11/28 0.8875 0.8836 0.8441 JAPANESE YEN 11/28 123.76 122.60 110.07 KOREAN WON 11/28 1266.0 1283.0 1164.7 MEXICAN PESO 11/28 9.290 9.168 9.406 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 11/28 121.3 121.4 118.7

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 11/27 2.01% 1.97% 6.52% COMMERCIAL PAPER 11/27 3-month 2.05 2.02 6.50 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 11/28 3-month 2.07 2.03 6.64 FIXED MORTGAGE 11/23 30-year 7.02 6.80 7.88 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 11/23 one-year 5.41 5.29 7.24 PRIME 11/23 5.00 5.00 9.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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