Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 11/3 thous. of net tons 1,625 1,537# -17.6 AUTOS 11/3 units 89,368 91,135r# -8.1 TRUCKS 11/3 units 142,878 138,136r# 4.7 ELECTRIC POWER 11/3 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 63,951 65,184# -1.6 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 11/3 thous. of bbl./day 14,787 15,075# -3.0 COAL 10/27 thous. of net tons 21,728# 21,282 -4.1 LUMBER 10/27 millions of ft. 501.7# 489.1r -2.3 RAIL FREIGHT 10/27 billions of ton-miles 30.9# 30.7 -0.6

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 10/26 1992=100 114.4 114.2r -7.0 STOCK PRICES 11/2 S&P 500 1087.2 1104.6 -23.8 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 11/2 6.4% 6.5% -14.9 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 10/22 billions $5,396.0 $5,385.2r 10.3 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 11/2 thous. 450 496r 30.1 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 11/2 318.4 265.9 2.5 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 11/2 5223.2 4203.5 702.1

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 11/7 $/troy oz. 280.300 278.750 6.1 STEEL SCRAP 11/6 #1 heavy, $/ton 78.00 78.00 4.9 COPPER 11/2 cents/lb. 66.5 66.5 -24.6 ALUMINUM 11/2 cents/lb. 61.8 61.8 -12.4 COTTON 11/2 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 29.45 28.91 -51.5 OIL 11/7 $/bbl. 19.81 20.85 -40.2 CRB FOODSTUFFS 11/6 1967=100 196.19 193.53 7.3 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 11/6 1967=100 214.17 214.40 -16.5

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 11/7 2.5610 2.6965 1.9665 BRITISH POUND 11/7 1.46 1.46 1.42 CANADIAN DOLLAR 11/7 1.60 1.59 1.54 EUROPEAN EURO 11/7 0.8982 0.9039 0.8555 JAPANESE YEN 11/7 120.74 121.88 107.24 KOREAN WON 11/7 1280.0 1291.0 1135.0 MEXICAN PESO 11/7 9.197 9.285 9.643 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 11/7 120.0 120.1 117.0

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 11/6 2.13% 2.55% 6.48% COMMERCIAL PAPER 11/6 3-month 2.02 2.14 6.50 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 11/7 3-month 1.91 2.10 6.66 FIXED MORTGAGE 11/2 30-year 6.66 6.77 7.90 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 11/2 one-year 5.33 5.42 7.23 PRIME 11/2 5.50 5.50 9.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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