Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 10/20 thous. of net tons 1,666 1,707# -15.6 AUTOS 10/20 units 100,544 105,449r# -15.2 TRUCKS 10/20 units 127,973 139,827r# -16.9 ELECTRIC POWER 10/20 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 63,840 65,188# -0.6 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 10/20 thous. of bbl./day 15,157 14,998# -1.1 COAL 10/13 thous. of net tons 21,649# 21,456 -2.0 LUMBER 10/13 millions of ft. 498.3# 494.9r -0.8 RAIL FREIGHT 10/13 billions of ton-miles 30.8# 30.7 0.7

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 10/12 1992=100 115.5 114.9r -6.9 STOCK PRICES 10/19 S&P 500 1073.5 1091.7 -23.2 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 10/19 6.6% 6.7% -12.3 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 10/8 billions $5,382.9 $5,393.6r 10.5 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 10/19 thous. 504 496r 63.6 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 10/19 264.1 286.9 -11.6 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 10/19 4580.3 5252.6 680.0

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 10/24 $/troy oz. 275.500 281.600 3.3 STEEL SCRAP 10/23 #1 heavy, $/ton 78.00 78.00 -3.9 COPPER 10/19 cents/lb. 67.4 67.8 -26.6 ALUMINUM 10/19 cents/lb. 62.8 62.5 -12.8 COTTON 10/19 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 30.59 31.37 -49.4 OIL 10/24 $/bbl. 21.74 21.43 -34.8 CRB FOODSTUFFS 10/23 1967=100 192.21 199.53 4.7 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 10/23 1967=100 221.03 222.49 -13.3

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 10/24 2.7485 2.7220 1.9270 BRITISH POUND 10/24 1.43 1.45 1.43 CANADIAN DOLLAR 10/24 1.58 1.57 1.52 EUROPEAN EURO 10/24 0.8967 0.9022 0.8272 JAPANESE YEN 10/24 122.68 121.21 108.22 KOREAN WON 10/24 1293.5 1298.0 1138.5 MEXICAN PESO 10/24 9.245 9.245 9.652 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 10/24 120.7 119.3 117.8

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 10/23 2.48% 2.47% 6.49% COMMERCIAL PAPER 10/23 3-month 2.22 2.35 6.50 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 10/24 3-month 2.14 2.33 6.64 FIXED MORTGAGE 10/19 30-year 6.76 6.79 7.93 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 10/19 one-year 5.49 5.49 7.27 PRIME 10/19 5.50 5.50 9.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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