Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 10/13 thous. of net tons 1,707 1,742# -16.4 AUTOS 10/13 units 109,420 96,014r# -7.7 TRUCKS 10/13 units 144,636 135,792r# -5.0 ELECTRIC POWER 10/13 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 65,188 63,814# 0.3 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 10/13 thous. of bbl./day 14,998 15,065# -0.7 COAL 10/6 thous. of net tons 21,456# 22,956 0.9 LUMBER 10/6 millions of ft. 496.4# 530.6 3.2 RAIL FREIGHT 10/6 billions of ton-miles 30.7# 30.6 2.7

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 10/5 1992=100 115.2 115.2r -7.6 STOCK PRICES 10/12 S&P 500 1091.7 1071.4 -20.6 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 10/12 6.7% 6.6% -11.6 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 10/1 billions $5,399.8 $5,400.9r 10.7 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 10/12 thous. 490 484r 58.1 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 10/12 286.9 271.2 -7.8 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 10/12 5252.6 4285.7 953.5

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 10/17 $/troy oz. 281.600 281.850 3.5 STEEL SCRAP 10/16 #1 heavy, $/ton 78.00 78.00 -3.9 COPPER 10/12 cents/lb. 67.8 68.2 -27.5 ALUMINUM 10/12 cents/lb. 62.5 63.5 -15.0 COTTON 10/12 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 31.37 33.25 -49.6 OIL 10/17 $/bbl. 21.43 22.24 -35.4 CRB FOODSTUFFS 10/12 1967=100 199.53 202.25 8.0 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 10/12 1967=100 222.49 220.02 -14.0

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 10/17 2.7220 2.7740 1.8740 BRITISH POUND 10/17 1.45 1.45 1.44 CANADIAN DOLLAR 10/17 1.57 1.57 1.52 EUROPEAN EURO 10/17 0.9022 0.9107 0.8389 JAPANESE YEN 10/17 121.21 120.39 107.69 KOREAN WON 10/17 1298.0 1303.0 1138.8 MEXICAN PESO 10/17 9.245 9.375 9.547 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 10/17 119.3 119.0 117.2

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 10/16 2.47% 2.50% 6.45% COMMERCIAL PAPER 10/16 3-month 2.35 2.30 6.51 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 10/17 3-month 2.33 2.35 6.66 FIXED MORTGAGE 10/12 30-year 6.79 6.75 8.00 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 10/12 one-year 5.49 5.52 7.24 PRIME 10/12 5.50 5.50 9.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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