Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 9/22 thous. of net tons 1,767 1,746# -15.4 AUTOS 9/22 units 96,187 92,175r# -21.4 TRUCKS 9/22 units 131,800 118,230r# -14.9 ELECTRIC POWER 9/22 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 68,851 72,815# -2.5 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 9/22 thous. of bbl./day 14,732 15,095# -5.2 COAL 9/15 thous. of net tons 22,596# 20,557 4.0 LUMBER 9/15 millions of ft. 517.8# 418.4r -0.2 RAIL FREIGHT 9/15 billions of ton-miles 29.7# 26.3 -2.3

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 9/14 1992=100 118.0 118.8r -6.1 STOCK PRICES 9/21 S&P 500 965.8 1092.5 -33.3 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 9/21 7.0% 6.7% -8.6 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 9/10 billions $5,315.0 $5,299.9r 9.6 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 9/21 thous. 450 392r 55.7 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 9/21 283.5 282.4 -7.9 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 9/21 2713.9 1992.9 501.4

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed- eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 9/26 $/troy oz. 291.450 288.100 5.5 STEEL SCRAP 9/25 #1 heavy, $/ton 78.00 78.50 -12.4 COPPER 9/21 cents/lb. 69.3 68.0 -27.8 ALUMINUM 9/21 cents/lb. 65.5 65.3 -15.5 COTTON 9/21 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 34.32 NA -43.6 OIL 9/26 $/bbl. 22.17 26.58 -28.9 CRB FOODSTUFFS 9/25 1967=100 215.84 227.68 22.5 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 9/25 1967=100 224.75 228.44 -13.7

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 9/26 2.7295 2.7085 1.8500 BRITISH POUND 9/26 1.47 1.47 1.46 CANADIAN DOLLAR 9/26 1.53 1.57 1.50 EUROPEAN EURO 9/26 0.9233 0.9272 0.8834 JAPANESE YEN 9/26 117.76 117.65 107.32 KOREAN WON 9/26 1300.0 1292.0 1113.6 MEXICAN PESO 9/26 9.515 9.435 9.420 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 9/26 117.8 117.2 114.6

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 9/25 3.11% 1.25% 6.50% COMMERCIAL PAPER 9/25 3-month 2.45 2.76 6.47 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 9/26 3-month 2.52 2.60 6.59 FIXED MORTGAGE 9/21 30-year 6.92 6.99 8.06 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 9/21 one-year 5.71 5.84 7.28 PRIME 9/21 6.00 6.50 9.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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