Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 9/15 thous. of net tons 1,746 1,865# -13.3 AUTOS 9/15 units 92,783 85,311r# -21.9 TRUCKS 9/15 units 125,297 114,346r# -10.4 ELECTRIC POWER 9/15 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 72,815 75,291# -4.6 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 9/15 thous. of bbl./day 15,095 15,550# -1.6 COAL 9/8 thous. of net tons 20,557# 22,957 1.6 LUMBER 9/8 millions of ft. 420.6# 523.7r 6.1 RAIL FREIGHT 9/8 billions of ton-miles 26.3# 30.6 -3.0

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 9/7 1992=100 118.9 119.7r -5.3 STOCK PRICES 9/14 S&P 500 1092.5 1085.8 -25.5 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 9/14 6.7% 6.6% -12.5 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 9/3 billions $5,299.3 $5,291.3r 9.3 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 9/14 thous. 387 436r 24.4 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 9/14 282.4 310.5 -11.4 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 9/14 1992.9 2295.9 352.1

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 9/19 $/troy oz. 288.100 279.000 6.2 STEEL SCRAP 9/18 #1 heavy, $/ton 78.50 78.50 -11.8 COPPER 9/14 cents/lb. 68.0 70.6 -29.6 ALUMINUM 9/14 cents/lb. 65.3 66.5 -17.4 COTTON 9/14 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. NA 36.68 NA OIL 9/19 $/bbl. 26.58 28.96 -27.8 CRB FOODSTUFFS 9/18 1967=100 227.68 229.22 31.5 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 9/18 1967=100 228.44 231.63 -11.4

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 9/19 2.7085 2.6650 1.8550 BRITISH POUND 9/19 1.47 1.47 1.41 CANADIAN DOLLAR 9/19 1.57 1.56 1.48 EUROPEAN EURO 9/19 0.9272 0.9073 0.8493 JAPANESE YEN 9/19 117.65 119.49 106.53 KOREAN WON 9/19 1292.0 1284.8 1126.5 MEXICAN PESO 9/19 9.435 9.431 9.443 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 9/19 117.2 118.2 115.9

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 9/18 1.25% 3.50% 6.40% COMMERCIAL PAPER 9/18 3-month 2.76 3.24 6.47 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 9/19 3-month 2.60 3.26 6.58 FIXED MORTGAGE 9/14 30-year 6.99 7.05 8.08 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 9/14 one-year 5.84 5.79 7.35 PRIME 9/14 6.50 6.50 0.18

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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