Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 9/8 thous. of net tons 1,865 1,873# -11.1 AUTOS 9/8 units 82,940 88,473r# -13.1 TRUCKS 9/8 units 114,912 137,938r# 0.5 ELECTRIC POWER 9/8 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 75,291 79,730# 0.4 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 9/8 thous. of bbl./day 15,550 15,429# 0.0 COAL 9/1 thous. of net tons 22,957# 22,981 -5.7 LUMBER 9/1 millions of ft. 523.8# 522.4r 9.7 RAIL FREIGHT 9/1 billions of ton-miles 30.6# 30.1 0.3

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 8/31 1992=100 119.8 119.2r -4.3 STOCK PRICES 9/7 S&P 500 1085.8 1133.6 -27.3 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 9/7 6.6% 6.6% -12.6 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 8/27 billions $5,291.1 $5,287.8 9.3 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 9/7 thous. 431. 410r 32.2 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 9/7 310.5 317.4 -4.3 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 9/7 2295.9 2365.0 406.9

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 9/12 $/troy oz. 279.000 271.300 2.4 STEEL SCRAP 9/11 #1 heavy, $/ton 78.50 78.50 -11.8 COPPER 9/7 cents/lb. 70.6 73.0 -25.7 ALUMINUM 9/7 cents/lb. 66.5 67.8 -14.2 COTTON 9/7 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 36.68 35.15 -38.5 OIL 9/12 $/bbl. 28.96 26.78 -13.7 CRB FOODSTUFFS 9/10 1967=100 229.22 228.92 31.9 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 09/11 1967=100 231.63 235.59 -10.4

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 9/12 2.6650 2.5690 1.8315 BRITISH POUND 9/12 1.47 1.46 1.41 CANADIAN DOLLAR 9/12 1.56 1.56 1.48 EUROPEAN EURO 9/12 0.9073 0.8863 0.8594 JAPANESE YEN 9/12 119.49 120.72 107.08 KOREAN WON 9/12 1284.8 1278.5 1109.0 MEXICAN PESO 9/12 9.431 9.250 9.284 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 9/10 118.2 119.9 115.2

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade- weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 9/11 3.50% 3.67% 5.12% COMMERCIAL PAPER 9/10 3-month 3.24 3.37 5.33 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 9/10 3-month 3.26 3.43 5.46 FIXED MORTGAGE 9/7 30-year 7.05 7.03 7.95 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 9/7 one-year 5.79 5.81 6.51 PRIME 9/7 6.50 6.50 8.25

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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