Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 9/1 thous. of net tons 1,873 1,817# -9.9 AUTOS 9/1 units 89,125 104,946r# -21.4 TRUCKS 9/1 units 129,621 139,314r# 7.2 ELECTRIC POWER 9/1 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 79,730 79,664# -3.3 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 9/1 thous. of bbl./day 15,429 15,094# -0.6 COAL 8/25 thous. of net tons 22,981# 21,673 -3.0 LUMBER 8/25 millions of ft. 546.3# 524.5 22.0 RAIL FREIGHT 8/25 billions of ton-miles 30.1# 29.2 1.3

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 8/24 1992=100 119.3 119.3r -4.3 STOCK PRICES 8/31 S&P 500 1133.6 1184.9 -25.5 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 8/31 6.6% 6.7% -12.8 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 8/20 billions $5,287.8 $5,277.0 9.5 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 8/31 thous. 402 405r 29.3 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 8/31 317.4 295.0 3.3 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 8/31 2365.0 2048.4 484.7

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 9/5 $/troy oz. 271.300 272.850 -1.0 STEEL SCRAP 9/4 #1 heavy, $/ton 78.50 78.50 -11.8 COPPER 8/31 cents/lb. 73.0 71.9 -21.0 ALUMINUM 8/31 cents/lb. 67.8 67.0 -10.6 COTTON 8/31 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 35.15 34.88 -40.3 OIL 9/5 $/bbl. 26.78 26.76 -23.0 CRB FOODSTUFFS 9/4 1967=100 228.92 234.00 31.9 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 9/4 1967=100 235.59 237.15 -8.7

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 9/5 2.5690 2.5475 1.8200 BRITISH POUND 9/5 1.46 1.45 1.44 CANADIAN DOLLAR 9/5 1.56 1.55 1.48 EUROPEAN EURO 9/5 0.8863 0.9093 0.8701 JAPANESE YEN 9/5 120.72 120.21 105.89 KOREAN WON 9/5 1278.5 1279.5 1107.4 MEXICAN PESO 9/5 9.250 9.145 9.343 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 9/5 119.9 118.3 114.4

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dol- lar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 9/4 3.67% 3.50% 6.61% COMMERCIAL PAPER 9/4 3-month 3.37 3.38 6.46 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 9/5 3-month 3.43 3.43 6.58 FIXED MORTGAGE 8/31 30-year 7.03 7.08 8.12 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 8/31 one-year 5.81 5.83 7.35 PRIME 8/31 6.50 6.50 9.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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