Table: The Future Is Bleak--or Is It?

When the trust funds will be exhausted:

SOCIAL SECURITY MEDICARE*

PESSIMISTIC PROJECTION 2027 2016 (Slow productivity growth, rapid decline in death rates)

INTERMEDIATE PROJECTION 2038 2029

OPTIMISTIC PROJECTION Never** Never** (Rapid productivity growth, slow decline in death rates)

* Hospital Insurance Fund only. ** Within 75-year projection period.

Data: Social Security Administration, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services

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