Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 8/4 thous. of net tons 1,885 1,851# -13.1 AUTOS 8/4 units 99,393 97,964r# -18.2 TRUCKS 8/4 units 140,789 129,333r# -3.3 ELECTRIC POWER 8/4 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 81,714 82,310# 5.4 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 8/4 thous. of bbl./day 15,267 15,393# -2.2 COAL 7/28 thous. of net tons 22,191# 22,351 -3.3 LUMBER 7/28 millions of ft. 529.9# 521.9r 7.1 RAIL FREIGHT 7/28 billions of ton-miles 29.0# 28.3 -0.7

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 7/27 1992=100 121.3 121.3r -3.3 STOCK PRICES 8/3 S&P 500 1214.4 1205.8 -14.5 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 8/3 6.8% 6.7% -10.8 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 7/23 billions $5,248.1 $5,248.6 9.5 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 8/3 thous. 385 352r 39.5 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 8/3 318.2 312.0 3.8 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 8/3 1730.1 1643.0 400.0

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 8/8 $/troy oz. 266.400 267.350 -4.0 STEEL SCRAP 8/7 #1 heavy, $/ton 78.50 78.17r -23.8 COPPER 8/3 cents/lb. 71.9 72.2 -20.7 ALUMINUM 8/3 cents/lb. 66.5 67.5 -13.1 COTTON 8/3 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 39.02 39.00 -31.7 OIL 8/8 $/bbl. 27.19 26.43 -3.1 CRB FOODSTUFFS 8/7 1967=100 230.36 233.30 33.6 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 8/7 1967=100 238.28 243.08 -6.3

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 8/8 2.4687 2.5005 1.7950 BRITISH POUND 8/8 1.42 1.43 1.50 CANADIAN DOLLAR 8/8 1.53 1.54 1.48 EUROPEAN EURO 8/8 0.8805 0.8815 0.9137 JAPANESE YEN 8/8 123.60 124.60 108.99 KOREAN WON 8/8 1280.0 1292.0 1115.7 MEXICAN PESO 8/8 9.095 9.215 9.355 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 8/8 120.6 121.0 112.9

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dol- lar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 8/7 3.69% 3.82% 6.51% COMMERCIAL PAPER 8/7 3-month 3.51 3.54 6.52 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 8/8 3-month 3.56 3.59 6.67 FIXED MORTGAGE 8/3 30-year 7.18 7.22 8.27 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 8/3 one-year 5.93 6.00 7.35 PRIME 8/3 6.75 6.75 9.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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