Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG STEEL 7/7 thous. of net tons 1,843 1,853# -17.8 AUTOS 7/7 units 18,585 106,305r# 141.1 TRUCKS 7/7 units 35,597 130,501r# 88.7 ELECTRIC POWER 7/7 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 72,515 75,723# -0.9 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 7/7 thous. of bbl./day 15,771 15,828# 2.4 COAL 6/30 thous. of net tons 22,001# 22,178 2.0 LUMBER 6/30 millions of ft. 519.0# 529.7r 0.4 RAIL FREIGHT 6/30 billions of ton-miles 28.5# 27.6 0.7

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Insti- tute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Rail- roads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG ECRI LEADING INDEX 6/29 1992=100 120.3 120.6 -3.7 STOCK PRICES 7/6 S&P 500 1190.6 1224.4 -19.5 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 7/6 6.9% 6.9% -9.7 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 6/25 billions $5,212.1 $5,220.4 9.1 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 7/6 thous. 445 403r 51.9 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 7/6 300.4 308.3 0.8 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 7/6 1200.0 1521.6 257.8

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG GOLD 7/11 $/troy oz. 267.550 267.600 -4.4 STEEL SCRAP 7/10 #1 heavy, $/ton 78.67 77.00 -23.6 COPPER 7/6 cents/lb. 74.7 75.6 -12.1 ALUMINUM 7/6 cents/lb. 69.3 69.3 -9.5 COTTON 7/6 strict low middling 1- 1/16 in., cents/lb. 31.72 37.81 -40.0 OIL 7/11 $/bbl. 26.78 26.06 -11.2 CRB FOODSTUFFS 7/10 1967=100 219.62 216.40 22.1 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 7/10 1967=100 245.70 245.75 -3.1

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO BRAZILIAN REAL 7/11 2.5480 2.3495 1.8025 BRITISH POUND 7/11 1.41 1.41 1.51 CANADIAN DOLLAR 7/11 1.53 1.51 1.48 EUROPEAN EURO 7/11 0.8593 0.8478 0.9424 JAPANESE YEN 7/11 124.39 124.40 108.09 KOREAN WON 7/11 1306.5 1293.0 1115.5 MEXICAN PESO 7/11 9.235 9.055 9.450 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 7/11 121.6 122.0 111.6

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dol- lars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO FEDERAL FUNDS 7/10 3.71% 4.11% 6.39% COMMERCIAL PAPER 7/10 3-month 3.62 3.69 6.53 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 7/11 3-month 3.68 3.75 6.66 FIXED MORTGAGE 7/6 30-year 7.42 7.28 8.28 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 7/6 one-year 6.13 6.05 7.34 PRIME 7/6 6.75 6.75 9.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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