Bonds Slip Amid Weaker U.S. Dollar

Despite concerns about emerging market debt, treasuries slid as the stock market made gains

Treasuries cheapened back up on Wednesday, with a weaker dollar and additional agency supply providing a thin pretext for some profit-taking. Emerging market jitters remained at the forefront of dealer consciousness, however, limiting losses. Accordingly, the yield curve bumped into +167 basis point May wides before narrowing back. Short-dated paper surged initially on a fresh wave of Asian and Latam nausea, with 2-year yields dipping below 4.0%, but the whole curve backed higher by the close.

The September bond topped out at 101-23 and eroded much of Tuesday's gains, to close 8/32 lower at 101-02. Fannie Mae launched $2.5 billion in 5s and 10s, though a handful of others non-governmental issues priced today (Halliburton, EOP and American General). The market also digested a $5 billion TIPS auction.

Stocks generally idled ahead of earnings from Motorola and Yahoo. Global advisor rumors on the strong dollar were followed up with Treasury confirmation of that mantra, easing some pressure on the unit. A Japan bank buyer of the Fed funds curve helped boost contract odds of a 25 basis point cut in August to 80%, but this may have been portfolio liquidation.

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