Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG

STEEL 6/16 thous. of net tons 1,890 1 ,863# -18.0 AUTOS 6/16 units 106,725 110,537r# -14.3 TRUCKS 6/16 units 140,392 134,577r# -14.3 ELECTRIC POWER 6/16 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 75,485 67,326# 0.4 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 6/16 thous. of bbl./day 15,505 15,918# 0.0 COAL 6/9 thous. of net tons 22,496# 21,737 1.2 LUMBER 6/9 millions of ft. 521.9# 440.3r 0.3 RAIL FREIGHT 6/9 billions of ton-miles 28.3# 26.4 0.4

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 6/8 1992=100 121.2 120.9r -2.9 STOCK PRICES 6/15 S&P 500 1214.4 1265.0 -17.1 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 6/15 6.9% 6.9% -9.3 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 6/4 billions $5,192.3 $5,166.0r 8.8 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 6/15 thous. 400 434r 34.2 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 6/15 324.2 342.9 6.1 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 6/15 1593.1 1776.9 383.8

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG

GOLD 6/20 $/troy oz. 271.500 271.950 -5.1 STEEL SCRAP 6/19 #1 heavy, $/ton 77.00 77.00 -25.2 COPPER 6/15 cents/lb. 76.7 78.9 -9.5 ALUMINUM 6/15 cents/lb. 70.5 71.3 -2.8 COTTON 6/15 strict low middling 1-1/16 n., cents/lb. 38.06 38.94 -32.2 OIL 6/20 $/bbl. 26.34 28.73 -20.3 CRB FOODSTUFFS 6/19 1967=100 215.20 212.13 13.3 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 6/19 1967=100 244.55 247.96 -6.0

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 6/20 2.4805 2.3895 1.8115 BRITISH POUND 6/20 1.40 1.39 1.50 CANADIAN DOLLAR 6/20 1.53 1.52 1.47 EUROPEAN EURO 6/20 0.8541 0.8541 0.9453 JAPANESE YEN 6/20 123.78 121.96 105.59 KOREAN WON 6/20 1296.0 1292.0 1119.3 MEXICAN PESO 6/20 9.080 9.050 9.851 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 6/20 122.0 121.2 110.4

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 6/19 3.91% 3.98% 6.49% COMMERCIAL PAPER 6/19 3-month 3.61 3.71 6.56 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 6/20 3-month 3.65 3.76 6.71 FIXED MORTGAGE 6/15 30-year 7.30 7.32 8.37 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 6/15 one-year 6.35 6.08 7.38 PRIME 6/15 7.00 7.00 9.50

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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