Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

STEEL 5/5 thous. of net tons 1,859 1,973# -20.5 AUTOS 5/5 units 117,391 111,980r# -9.5 TRUCKS 5/5 units 142,813 145,505r# -13.3 ELECTRIC POWER 5/5 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 64,058 61,438# 2.4 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 5/5 thous. of bbl./day 15,518 15,595# 3.0 COAL 4/28 thous. of net tons 22,535# 22,632 1.0 LUMBER 4/28 millions of ft. 498.7# 478.7 -7.9 RAIL FREIGHT 4/28 billions of ton-miles 28.4# 28.3 0.4

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 4/27 1992=100 122.0 121.3 -2.5 STOCK PRICES 5/4 S&P 500 1266.6 1253.1 -11.6 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 5/4 6.8% 6.9 -14.6 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 4/23 billions $5,151.7 $5,153.2r 7.9 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 5/4 thous. 384 425r 26.3 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 5/4 316.3 309.8 -7.3 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 5/4 1970.0 2203.7 450.7

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

GOLD 5/9 $/troy oz. 267.850 263.950 -3.5 STEEL SCRAP 5/8 #1 heavy, $/ton 75.83 75.83 -26.4 COPPER 5/4 cents/lb. 82.0 80.3 -4.4 ALUMINUM 5/4 cents/lb. 74.8 73.5 5.6 COTTON 5/4 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb 42.40 42.22 -23.0 OIL 5/9 $/bbl. 28.00 27.48 -1.1 CRB FOODSTUFFS 5/8 1967=100 211.31 205.41 9.6 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 5/8 1967=100 243.59 244.35 -7.7

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 5/9 2.2555 2.2330 1.8190 BRITISH POUND 5/9 1.42 1.43 1.51 CANADIAN DOLLAR 5/9 1.54 1.53 1.49 EUROPEAN EURO 5/9 0.8858 0.8942 0.9067 JAPANESE YEN 5/9 122.15 121.43 109.53 KOREAN WON 5/9 1302.5 1306.5 1109.1 MEXICAN PESO 5/9 9.205 9.280 9.619 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 5/9 120.1 119.4 113.5

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade- weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 5/8 4.41% 4.61% 5.92% COMMERCIAL PAPER 5/8 3-month 3.95 4.17 6.52 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 5/9 3-month 3.98 4.20 6.69 FIXED MORTGAGE 5/4 30-year 7.31 7.26 8.52 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 5/4 one-year 6.18 6.13 7.01 PRIME 5/4 7.50 7.50 9.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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