Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG

STEEL 4/14 thous. of net tons 1,926 1,919# -17.0 AUTOS 4/14 units 97,247 95,409r# -19.7 TRUCKS 4/14 units 121,186 139,853r# -27.0 ELECTRIC POWER 4/14 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 63,528 63,517# 3.1 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 4/14 thous. of bbl./day 15,106 14,657r# 0.7 COAL 4/7 thous. of net tons 21,819# 23,720 3.3 LUMBER 4/7 millions of ft. 491.9# 491.6r -10.5 RAIL FREIGHT 4/7 billions of ton-miles 27.9# 29.5 1.5

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 4/6 1992=100 120.6 120.7 -5.0 STOCK PRICES 4/12 S&P 500 1183.5 1128.4 -12.8 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 4/12 6.9% 6.7 -10.2 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 4/2 billions $5,132.4 $5,115.7r 8.4 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 4/13 thous. 385 395r 44.7 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 4/13 292.3 304.6 -2.8 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 4/13 2287.0 2427.2 544.6

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO % CHG

GOLD 4/18 $/troy oz. 258.850 257.700 -8.0 STEEL SCRAP 4/17 #1 heavy, $/ton 75.83 75.83 -26.4 COPPER 4/13 cents/lb. 80.5 80.1 -0.5 ALUMINUM 4/13 cents/lb. 71.5 70.5 -1.4 COTTON 4/13 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 44.58 48.83 -17.3 OIL 4/18 $/bbl. 27.62 27.83 7.2 CRB FOODSTUFFS 4/17 1967=100 203.33 201.48 6.6 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 4/17 1967=100 245.71 241.84 -5.1

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 4/18 2.1810 2.1525 1.7740 BRITISH POUND 4/18 1.43 1.44 1.58 CANADIAN DOLLAR 4/18 1.56 1.56 1.48 EUROPEAN EURO 4/18 0.8827 0.8874 0.9403 JAPANESE YEN 4/18 122.14 124.82 104.82 KOREAN WON 4/18 1312.5 1325.0 1109.4 MEXICAN PESO 4/18 9.245 9.305 9.423 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 4/18 120.8 121.3 110.2

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 4/17 4.99% 4.96% 5.93% COMMERCIAL PAPER 4/17 3-month 4.62 4.53 6.11 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 4/18 3-month 4.41 4.72 6.28 FIXED MORTGAGE 4/13 30-year 7.22 7.19 8.30 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 4/13 one-year 6.20 6.27 6.95 PRIME 4/13 8.00 8.00 9.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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