Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

STEEL 3/17 thous. of net tons 2,011 2,009# -12.2 AUTOS 3/17 units 110,884 109,665r# -9.0 TRUCKS 3/17 units 127,173 123,181r# -24.2 ELECTRIC POWER 3/17 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 65,894 68,157# 2.7 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 3/17 thous. of bbl./day 14,806 14,563# 1.3 COAL 3/10 thous. of net tons 23,061# 23,328 8.6 LUMBER 3/10 millions of ft. 457.0# 477.7r -16.9 RAIL FREIGHT 3/10 billions of ton-miles 28.3# 28.4 2.2

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 3/9 1992=100 121.8 122.4r -3.5 STOCK PRICES 3/16 S&P 500 1150.5 1233.4 -21.4 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 3/16 6.6% 6.6 -13.9 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 3/5 billions $5,078.5 5053.1r 8.2 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 3/16 thous. 379 380r 44.7 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 3/16 299.8 289.9 2.1 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 3/16 2053.0 2264.8 493.0

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

GOLD 3/21 $/troy oz. 262.000 263.850 -9.0 STEEL SCRAP 3/20 #1 heavy, $/ton 76.17 76.17 -26.0 COPPER 3/16 cents/lb. 84.8 87.5 1.0 ALUMINUM 3/16 cents/lb. 72.5 74.9 -5.6 COTTON 3/16 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb 49.04 52.20 -17.7 OIL 3/21 $/bbl. 26.01 26.05 -5.8 CRB FOODSTUFFS 3/20 1967=100 199.74 201.33 7.5 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 3/20 1967=100 245.26 248.03 -6.3

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 3/21 2.1235 2.0750 1.7305 BRITISH POUND 3/21 1.43 1.45 1.58 CANADIAN DOLLAR 3/21 1.58 1.56 1.47 EUROPEAN EURO 3/21 0.8959 0.9112 0.9610 JAPANESE YEN 3/21 123.36 121.01 107.10 KOREAN WON 3/21 1304.5 1278.0 1120.4 MEXICAN PESO 3/21 9.528 9.585 9.270 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 3/21 120.9 118.8 109.8

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade- weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 3/20 5.14% 5.50% 5.77% COMMERCIAL PAPER 3/20 3-month 4.63 4.84 6.04 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 3/21 3-month 4.78 4.95 6.19 FIXED MORTGAGE 3/16 30-year 7.16 7.16 8.39 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 3/16 one-year 6.40 6.38 6.80 PRIME 3/16 8.50 8.50 8.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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