Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

STEEL 3/10 thous. of net tons 2,009 1,989# -11.5 AUTOS 3/10 units 109,399 90,039r# -10.8 TRUCKS 3/10 units 128,665 138,188r# -21.4 ELECTRIC POWER 3/10 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 68,157 67,713# 7.5 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 3/10 thous. of bbl./day 14,563 14,883# 1.3 COAL 3/3 thous. of net tons 23,328# 22,612 2.6 LUMBER 3/3 millions of ft. 478.4# 470.8 -13.0 RAIL FREIGHT 3/3 billions of ton-miles 28.4# 27.8 -2.1

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 3/2 1992=100 122.5 121.7r -2.7 STOCK PRICES 3/9 S&P 500 1233.4 1234.2 -11.6 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 3/9 6.6% 6.7 -15.4 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 2/26 billions $5,053.0 5045.3r 8.0 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 3/9 thous. 375 375r 33.5 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 3/9 289.9 321.9 0.0 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 3/9 2264.8 2543.6 526.0

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

GOLD 3/14 $/troy oz. 263.850 260.650 -8.7 STEEL SCRAP 3/13 #1 heavy, $/ton 74.88 76.17 -27.3 COPPER 3/9 cents/lb. 87.5 85.5 5.9 ALUMINUM 3/9 cents/lb. 74.9 74.5 -2.1 COTTON 3/9 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 52.20 51.60 -11.5 OIL 3/14 $/bbl. 26.05 28.68 -16.8 CRB FOODSTUFFS 3/13 1967=100 201.33 200.18 8.7 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 3/13 1967=100 248.03 248.62 -4.8

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 3/14 2.0750 2.0411 1.7395 BRITISH POUND 3/14 1.45 1.46 1.57 CANADIAN DOLLAR 3/14 1.56 1.55 1.47 EUROPEAN EURO 3/14 0.9112 0.9299 0.9669 JAPANESE YEN 3/14 121.01 120.01 105.68 KOREAN WON 3/14 1278.0 1275.5 1122.9 MEXICAN PESO 3/14 9.585 9.635 9.320 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 3/14 118.8 117.6 109.1

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade- weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 3/13 5.50% 5.39% 5.80% COMMERCIAL PAPER 3/13 3-month 4.84 4.93 6.00 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 3/14 3-month 4.95 5.02 6.14 FIXED MORTGAGE 3/9 30-year 7.16 7.19 8.37 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 3/9 one-year 6.38 6.38 6.81 PRIME 3/9 8.50 8.50 8.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

# Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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