Production Index Components

PRODUCTION INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

STEEL 2/10 thous. of net tons 1,894 1,852# -15.8 AUTOS 2/10 units 109,675 84,942r# -5.0 TRUCKS 2/10 units 121,394 112,036r# -23.1 ELECTRIC POWER 2/10 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 69,997 70,696# 1.6 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 2/10 thous. of bbl./day 14,595 14,659# 4.7 COAL 2/3 thous. of net tons 22,942# 23,123 16.0 LUMBER 2/3 millions of ft. 449.5# 452.9r -17.1 RAIL FREIGHT 2/3 billions of ton-miles 28.1# 28.2 4.9

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 2/2 1992=100 124.0 124.0 -2.4 STOCK PRICES 2/9 S&P 500 1314.8 1349.5 -5.2 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 2/9 6.7% 6.7 -13.2 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 1/29 billions $5,000.2 $5,011.9r 6.7 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 2/9 thous. 352 363 16.2 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 2/9 277.6 311.5 2.5 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 2/9 2647.7 2612.5 609.6

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

GOLD 2/14 $/troy oz. 260.250 263.150 -14.0 STEEL SCRAP 2/13 #1 heavy, $/ton 75.00 75.00 -13.8 COPPER 2/9 cents/lb. 77.0 88.6 -11.6 ALUMINUM 2/9 cents/lb. 87.1 80.0 6.2 COTTON 2/9 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb 56.91 58.20 5.7 OIL 2/14 $/bbl. 29.37 30.94 -1.3 CRB FOODSTUFFS 2/13 1967=100 189.90 192.66 8.5 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 2/13 1967=100 249.16 249.00 -4.8

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 2/14 1.9860 2.0045 1.7740 BRITISH POUND 2/14 1.46 1.45 1.61 CANADIAN DOLLAR 2/14 1.53 1.51 1.45 EUROPEAN EURO 2/14 0.9180 0.9283 0.9863 JAPANESE YEN 2/14 116.42 116.33 109.43 KOREAN WON 2/14 1251.0 1268.0 1126.9 MEXICAN PESO 2/14 9.715 9.685 9.368 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 2/14 116.5 115.3 109.1

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 2/13 5.46% 5.48% 5.85% COMMERCIAL PAPER 2/13 3-month 5.18 5.22 5.85 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 2/14 3-month 5.34 5.33 6.00 FIXED MORTGAGE 2/9 30-year 7.22 7.20 8.49 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 2/9 one-year 6.46 6.47 6.78 PRIME 2/9 8.50 8.50 8.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful

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