The Week Ahead

CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
      Tuesday, Sept. 16, 8:30 a.m.EDT -- Consumer prices for August are expected to 
      have risen 0.3%, based on the median forecast of economists surveyed by MMS 
      International, a unit of The McGraw-Hill Companies. The CPI increased 0.2% in 
      July. Rising energy costs probably boosted the August gain. Excluding energy 
      and foods, the core index is projected to have risen by 0.2%, the same as in 
      July.
      
      BUSINESS INVENTORIES
      Tuesday, Sept. 16, 8:30 a.m.EDT -- Inventories held by manufacturers, 
      wholesalers, and retailers are expected to have risen 0.3% in July, based on 
      the MMS survey, after June's 0.7% rise. Business sales likely increased at a 
      faster rate, given the 1.7% jump in July factory shipments.
      
      INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
      Tuesday, Sept. 16, 9:15 a.m.EDT -- The MMS poll projects that industrial output 
      in August rose 0.5%, after July's 0.2% gain. As a result, the operating rate is 
      expected to have increased, to 83.3% from 83.1%.
      
      HOUSING STARTS
      Wednesday, Sept. 17, 8:30 a.m.EDT -- Builders are expected to have broken 
      ground on new homes in August at an annual rate of 1.45 million, says the MMS 
      poll, about the same pace as in July.
      
      BEIGE BOOK
      Wednesday, Sept. 17, 2 p.m.EDT -- The Federal Reserve will release its latest 
      survey of business conditions in each of the 12 Fed districts. The summary is 
      prepared for the upcoming policy meeting on Sept. 30, and it will be 
      scrutinized by the markets for signs of the Fed's policy intent.
      
      INTERNATIONAL TRADE
      Thursday, Sept. 18, 8:30 a.m.EDT -- The trade deficit for goods and services in 
      July is projected to have widened to $9.5 billion, according to the MMS survey. 
      The gap had narrowed sharply in June, to $8.2 billion. The forecasts expect 
      exports to have fallen and imports to have increased.
      
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