Inflation Neutral Bonds: The Pluses And Minuses
Dean Foust's "These bonds could blow up in Uncle Sam's face" (News: Analysis & Commentary, June 3), on the Treasury's proposed inflation-protection securities, errs in raising the specter of a large liability for the government in the event that inflation increases. If that happens, the government's revenues rise as well. This gives the Treasury resources to pay higher interest costs. Indeed, the Treasury's costs are already exposed to inflation, since more than one-third of the country's debt rolls over every year.
He also errs in alleging that indexed bonds will encourage investors to care less about inflation. First, while inflation-protected bonds are ideally suited to some investors' needs, there are currently over $5 trillion in nominal bonds outstanding, as well as countless other financial assets whose value is threatened by inflation. There are, as well, tens of millions of Americans who live on fixed nominal pensions. These anti-inflation constituencies are likely to dominate the political debate. Issuing these bonds is more likely to reduce inflation than to promote it. A government that sells inflation-protection securities is likely to keep a tight rein on inflation.
To date, the United Kingdom, Canada, Sweden, and Australia have successfully introduced variations of indexed bonds and all have cut borrowing costs as a result. All told, these securities represent a win-win situation for American savers and taxpayers.
Lawrence H. Summers
Deputy Secretary of the Treasury
Anything that seduces the public into believing they are insulated from financial mismanagement is a bad idea ("Rubin Bonds are a bad idea," Editorials, June 3). Increasing the federal deposit insurance from $10,000 to $40,000 to $100,000 per account led millions of depositors to believe they could not be affected by the business practices of their banks. It is not far-fetched to speculate that had depositors felt that their own money was at risk, instead of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.'s, public opinion would have led to tighter reins on bank policies and, ultimately, to far fewer bank failures. To the extent that Rubin Bonds may diminish public awareness of--and opposition to--inflation, they are simply not worth their negligible benefit.
Bruce L. Goldston