Business Week Index

BusinessWeek Index
PRODUCTION INDICATORS
                                          LATEST   WEEK      YEARLY
                                          WEEK     AGO       % CHG
      STEEL (1/13) thous. of net tons     2,031    1,951#    0.1
      AUTOS (1/13) units                  91,707   78,893r#  -29.8
      TRUCKS (1/13) units                 71,869   81,322r#  -30.2
      ELECTRIC POWER (1/13)
       millions of kilowatt-hrs.          67,271   62,656#   11.0
      CRUDE-OIL REFINING (1/13)
       thous. of bbl./day                 13,597   13,981#   -1.8
      COAL (1/6) thous. of net tons       17,777#  14,785    3.3
      PAPERBOARD (1/6) thous. of tons     NA#      NA        NA
      PAPER (1/6) thous. of tons          NA#      NA        NA
      LUMBER (1/6) millions of ft.        313.1#   213.8     -14.1
      RAIL FREIGHT (1/6)
       billions of ton-miles              21.1#    18.4      3.4
      Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison 
      Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., American Forest 
      & Paper Association, WWPA1, SFPA2, Association of American Railroads
      
      LEADING INDICATORS
                                          LATEST   WEEK      YEARLY
                                          WEEK     AGO       % CHG
      STOCK PRICES (1/12) S&P 500         606.18   619.12    31.1
      CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa (1/12)    6.86%    6.75%     -18.9
      INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES (1/12)  111.0    111.6     -2.8
      BUSINESS FAILURES (1/5)             NA       603       NA
      REAL ESTATE LOANS (1/3) billions    NA       $500.7    NA
      MONEY SUPPLY, M2 (1/1) billions     $3,751.0 $3,748.7  4.7
      INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT
       (12/30) thous.                     NA       NA        NA
      Sources: Center for International Business Cycle Research (CIBCR), Standard & 
      Poor's, Moody's, Journal of Commerce (index: 1990=100), Dun & Bradstreet 
      (failures of large companies), Federal Reserve, Labor Dept. CIBCR seasonally 
      adjusts data on business failures and real estate loans.
      
      PRICES
                                          LATEST   WEEK      YEARLY
                                          WEEK     AGO       % CHG
      GOLD (1/17) $/troy oz.              397.700  400.000   4.7
      STEEL SCRAP (1/16) #1 heavy, $/ton  144.50   139.50    -1.3
      COPPER (1/13)  cents/lb.            121.3    126.2     -15.8
      ALUMINUM (1/13)  cents/lb.          77.0     79.3      -21.4
      COTTON (1/13) strict low
       middling 1-1/16 in.,  cents/lb.    81.16    80.49     -7.1
      OIL (1/16) $/bbl.                   18.14    19.95     -1.1
      Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Chicago market, Metals Week, Memphis 
      market, NYMEX
      
      INTEREST RATES
                                          LATEST   WEEK      YEAR
                                          WEEK     AGO       AGO
      FEDERAL FUNDS (1/16)                5.84%    5.28%     5.45%
      COMMERCIAL PAPER (1/17) 3-month     5.41     5.45      6.17
      CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT
       (1/17) 3-month                     5.39     5.44      6.22
      FIXED MORTGAGE (1/12) 30-year       7.37     7.30      9.35
      ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE (1/12) one-year 5.50     5.56      6.88
      PRIME (1/17)                        8.50     8.50      8.50
      Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Reuters Holdings PLC
      
      FOREIGN EXCHANGE
                                          LATEST  WEEK    YEAR
                                          WEEK    AGO     AGO
      JAPANESE YEN (1/17)                 105.42   105.21    99.28
      GERMAN MARK (1/17)                  1.46     1.44      1.51
      BRITISH POUND (1/17)                1.53     1.55      1.59
      FRENCH FRANC (1/17)                 5.00     4.93      5.25
      ITALIAN LIRA (1/17)                 1582.3   1572.0    1595.0
      CANADIAN DOLLAR (1/17)              1.37     1.36      1.42
      MEXICAN PESO (1/17)3                7.505    7.525     5.475
      Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, 
      except for British pound in dollars
      
      #Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the 
      BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery 
      and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn.   2=Southern Forest 
      Products Assn.    3=Free market value   NA=Not available   r=revised   NM=Not 
      meaningful
      
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