Castro Just Might Reach For The Olive Branch

Something's got to give. The Clinton Administration's policy of warehousing Cuban refugees at Guantnamo while trying to further isolate the Castro regime is looking more and more unsustainable. That's partly because the refugee flow isn't going to dry up. Guantnamo will fill up even if the exodus ebbs to 300 to 500 a day. And rising discontent could upend Clinton's strategy by sparking a riot. "The immigration threat is one of the few Castro has left," says Gillian Gunn, director of the Cuba Project at Georgetown University. "He is unlikely to entirely shut down the flow until he gets the U.S. to address some aspect of the overall relationship."

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