{"id":24897,"date":"2018-09-11T16:32:57","date_gmt":"2018-09-11T20:32:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/latam\/blog\/mercados-ven-mayor-probabilidad-de-mas-alzas-de-la-fed-este-ano\/"},"modified":"2026-01-31T19:31:48","modified_gmt":"2026-01-31T19:31:48","slug":"mercados-ven-mayor-probabilidad-de-mas-alzas-de-la-fed-este-ano","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/latam\/blog\/mercados-ven-mayor-probabilidad-de-mas-alzas-de-la-fed-este-ano\/","title":{"rendered":"Mercados ven mayor probabilidad de m\u00e1s alzas de la Fed este a\u00f1o"},"content":{"rendered":"
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[vc_column_text]Por\u00a0Jeanna Smialek con la colaboraci\u00f3n de\u00a0Edward Bolingbroke.<\/em><\/p>\n

Funcionarios de la Reserva Federal de Estados Unidos anticipan elevar la tasa de inter\u00e9s de referencia del banco central un total de cuatro veces este a\u00f1o, seg\u00fan sus proyecciones econ\u00f3micas, y los mercados comienzan a creer.<\/p>\n

Las autoridades ya han elevado los costos de endeudamiento dos veces en el presente curso y sus\u00a0pron\u00f3sticos\u00a0hablan de otros dos ascensos de 0,25% de aqu\u00ed a fin de a\u00f1o. El rendimiento impl\u00edcito de los futuros de fondos federales de enero, que indica d\u00f3nde ve el mercado la tasa de referencia al finalizar el a\u00f1o, subi\u00f3 el martes a un in\u00e9dito 2,36%, lo que implica alrededor de 44 puntos base de ajuste adicional antes de 2019. Se considera casi una certeza que 25 de esos puntos base se har\u00e1n oficiales en la reuni\u00f3n del Comit\u00e9 Federal de Mercado Abierto que se celebrar\u00e1 este mes, seg\u00fan el contrato de fondos federales de octubre.<\/p>\n

La confianza del mercado en las perspectivas de una pol\u00edtica m\u00e1s estricta ha crecido tras conocerse una serie de datos que se\u00f1alan que el panorama econ\u00f3mico de EE.UU. es s\u00f3lido. El desempleo cay\u00f3 a 3,9%, mucho m\u00e1s all\u00e1 del nivel que las autoridades consideran sostenible a largo plazo, y la inflaci\u00f3n\u00a0ha convergido hacia el objetivo de 2% de la Fed. La entidad, que tambi\u00e9n aplic\u00f3 alzas en marzo y junio, no ha elevado la tasa de referencia cuatro veces en el mismo a\u00f1o desde 2006, dos a\u00f1os antes de que la crisis financiera se arraigara y la tasa quedara muy cerca de llegar a cero.<\/p>\n

P\u00f3ngase en contacto con nosotros<\/a> y contrate nuestro servicio Bloomberg Professional.[\/vc_column_text]<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\t\t\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Funcionarios de la Reserva Federal de Estados Unidos anticipan elevar la tasa de inter\u00e9s de referencia del banco central un total de cuatro veces este a\u00f1o, seg\u00fan sus proyecciones econ\u00f3micas, y los mercados comienzan a creer.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1814,"featured_media":24898,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[79],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24897","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias"],"yoast_head":"\nMercados ven mayor probabilidad de m\u00e1s alzas de la Fed este a\u00f1o | Servicio Bloomberg Professional<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/latam\/blog\/mercados-ven-mayor-probabilidad-de-mas-alzas-de-la-fed-este-ano\/\" \/>\n<meta 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