The rallying cry to defund the police that erupted with George Floyd’s killing almost eight months ago has come up against political realities with most major U.S. cities unwilling to make meaningful cuts.
Even as the 50 largest U.S. cities reduced their 2021 police budgets by 5.2% in aggregate—often as part of broader pandemic cost-cutting initiatives—law enforcement spending as a share of general expenditures rose slightly to 13.7% from 13.6%, according to data compiled by Bloomberg CityLab. And many cities like Minneapolis and Seattle have watered down or put on pause changes that were proposed or even passed at the height of the 2020 demonstrations against racism and police brutality.
Disparities in policing came into full view on Jan. 6 as a predominantly white mob of President Donald Trump’s supporters stormed the U.S. Capitol in a bid to overturn the results of the presidential election. Videos emerged of officers appearing to open barricades for rioters, offering a stark contrast to scenes from summer protests, where largely peaceful demonstrators were met at times with brutal force.
Police budgets will expand this year even in cities like Atlanta, Omaha and Phoenix, where Democrats picked up more votes in the 2020 presidential race versus 2016. Out of 42 major cities where Democrats gained share, 24 increased police spending for fiscal 2021, while 18 made cuts.
2020 presidential election winner at county level:
Biden
Trump
Police budget percent change
Democrat
Change in Democratic presidential vote share, 2016–2020 elections (percentage points)
+10pp
+8
+6
+4
+2
0
–2
–4
–6
–8
–10pp
+10%
Swung toward Democrats
Police budget increase
Swung away from democrats
Police budget increase
Tampa
San
Diego
Fresno
+5
Phoenix
El Paso
Virginia
Beach
Sacramento
Fort
Worth
Colorado
Springs
Atlanta
Nashville
Houston
San Jose
Kansas
City
Omaha
Miami
Oakland
0
Tulsa
Los Angeles
Detroit
Oklahoma
City
Milwaukee
Louisville
Dallas
Long Beach
Albuquerque
Baltimore
Philadelphia
Portland
Boston
San Francisco
−5
Washington, D.C.
Chicago
Arlington, TX
New
Orleans
Columbus
Las
Vegas
Denver
−10
Seattle
Minneapolis
New York
−15
−20
−25
−30
Austin
−35%
Swung toward Democrats
Police budget cut
Swung away from democrats
Police budget cut
2020 presidential election winner at county level:
Biden
Trump
Police budget percent change
Democrat
Change in Democratic presidential vote share, 2016–2020 elections (percentage points)
+10pp
+8
+6
+4
+2
0
–2
–4
–6
–8
–10pp
+10%
Swung toward Democrats
Police budget increase
Swung away from democrats
Police budget increase
Tampa
San
Diego
Fresno
+5
Phoenix
El Paso
Virginia
Beach
Sacramento
Atlanta
Colorado
Springs
Houston
San Jose
Omaha
Miami
Oakland
0
Tulsa
Oklahoma
City
Los Angeles
Detroit
Boston
Baltimore
Albuquerque
Philadelphia
Portland
San Francisco
−5
Washington, D.C.
Chicago
Arlington, TX
New
Orleans
Columbus
Las
Vegas
Denver
−10
Seattle
Minneapolis
New York
−15
−20
−25
−30
Austin
−35%
Swung away from democrats
Police budget cut
Swung toward Democrats
Police budget cut
2020 presidential election winner at county level:
Biden
Trump
Change in Democratic presidential vote share, 2016–2020 elections (percentage points)
Police budget percent change
Democrat
+10pp
+8
+6
+4
+2
0
–2
–4
–6
–8
–10pp
Swung toward Democrats/
Police budget increase
Swung away from democrats/
Police budget increase
+10%
Tampa
San
Diego
Fresno
+5
Phoenix
El Paso
Sacramento
Colorado
Springs
San Jose
Miami
Oakland
0
Tulsa
Los Angeles
Oklahoma
City
Detroit
Boston
Baltimore
Philadelphia
Portland
San Francisco
−5
Chicago
Arlington, TX
New
Orleans
Las
Vegas
Denver
−10
Seattle
Minneapolis
New York
−15
−20
−25
−30
Swung toward Democrats/
Police budget cut
Swung away from democrats/
Police budget cut
Austin
−35%
2020 presidential election winner at county level:
Biden
Trump
Police budget percent change
+10%
−30%
−10
0
−20
Swung toward Dem./
Police budget cut
Swung toward dem./
Police budget increase
Democrat
+10pp
Colorado
Springs
Albuquerque
+8
Minneapolis
Omaha
Oklahoma City
+6
Denver
Phoenix
Tulsa
Austin
Columbus
San
Diego
+4
Seattle
New Orleans
+2
Tampa
Las Vegas
Oakland
Change in Democratic presidential vote share, 2016–2020 elections (percentage points)
San Francisco
0
San Jose
Chicago
Los Angeles
–2
Philadelphia
El Paso
New York
–4
–6
–8
Swung away from Dem./
Police budget cut
Swung away from dem./
Police budget increase
–10pp
Miami
2020 presidential election winner at county level:
Biden
Trump
Police budget percent change
+10%
−30%
−10
0
−20
Swung toward Dem./
Police budget cut
Swung toward dem./
Police budget increase
Democrat
+10pp
Colorado
Springs
Albuquerque
+8
Minneapolis
Omaha
Oklahoma City
+6
Denver
Phoenix
Tulsa
Austin
Columbus
San
Diego
+4
Seattle
New Orleans
+2
Change in Democratic presidential vote share, 2016–2020 elections (percentage points)
Tampa
Las Vegas
Oakland
San Francisco
San Jose
0
Los
Angeles
Chicago
–2
Philadelphia
El Paso
New York
–4
–6
Swung away from Dem./
Police budget cut
Swung away from dem./
Police budget increase
–8
–10pp
Miami
Chris Burbank, vice president of law enforcement strategy for the Center for Policing Equity and the former chief of police of Salt Lake City, said he fears the seemingly muted response at the Capitol marks a step back in the reckoning over racism in policing, even as it proves the need for further reform. The divide is significant and “very difficult to repair,” he said.
Budget:
General
Police
Fiscal year:
2020
2021
$519.4M
$484.8M
$188.6M
$160.6M
33.1%
of general budget
No city better epitomizes this struggle than Minneapolis, where the city council wrestled with public safety concerns spurred by a wave of violent crime and the underlying financial constraints wrought by the coronavirus. The plan adopted in December was considered a compromise: reducing the department’s ability to spend overtime with impunity and creating several new alternatives to police responses, while planning to expand officer recruitment in 2022.
Despite setbacks, activists say there is more momentum than ever before behind reform and alternative models for policing, but there are divisions on the best way to achieve that. Joe Biden’s administration has signaled it supports spending on training and department oversight, rather than cuts. Biden himself has denounced calls to defund the police, citing it as one of the reasons Democrats underperformed during the 2020 cycle after predictions of a “blue wave.”
Bloomberg CityLab focused its analysis on police spending from general funds, to get a glimpse of cities’ priorities in their day-to-day spending. There are other sources of funding for police, including state and federal funds and private donations, as well as other ways these departments can cost municipalities, like legal settlements, overtime expenses and pension contributions.
“It’s definitely the case that we’ve seen more legislative action on police accountability and shrinking the police department budget in the last 3 months than we saw really in the last 30 years,” said Shaun Scott, an activist and former city council candidate in Seattle, where council members initially committed to cutting the department’s budget by 50%, only to reduce general fund police spending by 11.2%. “At the same time there is a sense of achievement and accomplishment, there’s also a sense of disappointment.”
General budget
Police budget
biggest increases to police budget
Tampa
Fresno
San Diego
Sacramento
Atlanta
+11.9%
+10.4%
+8.6%
+6.1%
+5.4%
+4.7%
+4.6%
+3.6%
+1.9%
−0.6%
biggest cuts to police budget
Austin
New York
Minneapolis
Seattle
Denver
+7.3%
0%
−6.7%
−9.8%
−9.8%
−10.7%
−11.2%
−14.8%
−14.8%
−33.3%
General budget
Police budget
biggest increases to police budget
Tampa
Fresno
San Diego
Sacramento
+11.9%
+10.4%
+8.6%
+6.1%
+5.4%
+4.7%
+3.6%
+1.9%
biggest cuts to police budget
Austin
New York
Minneapolis
Seattle
+7.3%
0%
−6.7%
−9.8%
−11.2%
−14.8%
−14.8%
−33.3%
General budget
Police budget
biggest increases to police budget
Tampa
Fresno
San Diego
+11.9%
+10.4%
+8.6%
+6.1%
+5.4%
+1.9%
biggest cuts to police budget
Austin
New York
Minneapolis
0%
−6.7%
−9.8%
−14.8%
−14.8%
−33.3%
Much of the money spent by cities on police is on the officers themselves, so when budgets go up—as they have consistently in the years after the 2008 recession—it means that departments and officer salaries are growing. In cases where cities have been reducing police spending, it has often meant they are letting vacancies go unfilled, cutting officers or allowing retirements to happen without replacements. Part of the goal of the movement to defund police departments is to reduce a reliance on officers with a gun; in their place, advocates are pushing cities to fund chronically under-resourced social services and innovate new public safety responses.
“We went wrong in shifting all these resources into policing rather than all these other social services and education, jobs and housing and everything else. That would’ve been a much smarter thing to do, even from a public safety perspective,” said Christy Lopez, a Georgetown Law professor and former U.S. Department of Justice civil rights division attorney. “There are ways that we can and should be looking at how to reduce the amount of resources that police suck up.”
At the same time there is a sense of achievement and accomplishment, there’s also a sense of disappointment.
To that end, San Francisco approved a diversion of $60 million from the police budget in 2021 and 2022, taking money from planned raises. Funds will be shared between three departments, including the Department of Public Health, which will bolster the coronavirus response among the city’s Black population, increase testing in public housing facilities, and pay for programs supporting African American women through pregnancy, said Tracy Gallardo, a legislative aide to Supervisor Shamann Walton, who supported the cuts.
Los Angeles, which spends about a quarter of its general fund budget on police, finalized a landmark $150 million reallocation away from police to communities of color in July. But activists there are now faced with a new challenge: Ensuring that they have a say in how the funds are spent. Already, some of the money has been used to backfill furloughs, and there are proposals to use funds for sidewalk fixes, tree trimming and other projects that are necessary but not necessarily transformative reinvestments.
$150M
LAPD budget cuts
Reinvestments
$10M
Summer Youth Programs and Workforce Development
$10M
City reserve funds
$40M
Avoid furloughs for city employees
▼
$90M
Unallocated funds
$1.2M
Civil and Human Rights Dept.
▼
$88.8M
Proposed funds distributed to highest need city council districts
LAPD budget cuts
$150M
Reinvestments
$10M
Summer Youth Programs and Workforce Development
$10M
City reserve funds
$40M
Avoid furloughs for city employees
▼
$90M
Unallocated funds
$1.2M
Civil and Human Rights Dept.
▼
$88.8M
Proposed funds distributed to highest need city council districts
LAPD
budget
cuts
$150M
Reinvestments
$10M
Summer Youth Programs & Workforce Development
$10M
City reserve funds
$40M
Avoid furloughs for city employees
▼
$90M
Unallocated funds
$1.2M
Civil and Human Rights Dept.
▼
$88.8M
Proposed funds distributed to highest need city council districts
$1M
5M
10M
20M
Sylmar
District
12
7
Tujunga
Chatsworth
6
Van
Nuys
3
North
Hollywood
Woodland
Hills
2
Encino
4
Los
Feliz
Bel-Air
Montecito
Heights
Hollywood
Pacific
Palisades
5
13
1
Echo
Park
Fairfax
11
Century
City
Jefferson
Park
14
Boyle
Heights
10
Historic
South-Central
Hyde
Park
Venice
9
8
Playa
Del Rey
Watts
Pacific Ocean
Harbor
Gateway
California
15
Los
Angeles
San
Pedro
5 mi
5 km
$1M
5M
10M
20M
Sylmar
District
12
7
Tujunga
Chatsworth
6
Van
Nuys
3
North
Hollywood
Woodland
Hills
2
Encino
4
Los
Feliz
Bel-Air
Montecito
Heights
Hollywood
Pacific
Palisades
5
13
1
Echo
Park
11
Century
City
Jefferson
Park
14
Boyle
Heights
10
Historic
South-Central
Venice
9
8
Playa
Del Rey
Pacific Ocean
Watts
Harbor
Gateway
15
California
San
Pedro
Los
Angeles
5 mi
5 km
$1M
5M
10M
20M
Sylmar
Chatsworth
7
Tujunga
District
12
6
Van
Nuys
3
North
Hollywood
Woodland
Hills
2
Encino
4
Bel-Air
1
Hollywood
5
13
14
Pacific
Palisades
Century
City
Boyle
Heights
10
9
Historic
South-Central
Venice
11
8
Watts
Pacific Ocean
Harbor
Gateway
15
California
San
Pedro
Los
Angeles
5 mi
5 km
$25K
50K
75K
100K
200K
Sylmar
District
12
7
Tujunga
Chatsworth
6
Van
Nuys
3
North
Hollywood
Woodland
Hills
2
Encino
4
Los
Feliz
Bel-Air
Montecito
Heights
Hollywood
Pacific
Palisades
5
13
1
Echo
Park
Fairfax
11
Century
City
Jefferson
Park
14
Boyle
Heights
10
Historic
South-Central
Hyde
Park
Venice
9
8
Playa
Del Rey
Watts
Pacific Ocean
Harbor
Gateway
California
15
Los
Angeles
San
Pedro
5 mi
5 km
$25K
50K
75K
100K
200K
Sylmar
District
12
7
Tujunga
Chatsworth
6
Van
Nuys
3
North
Hollywood
Woodland
Hills
2
Encino
4
Los
Feliz
Bel-Air
Montecito
Heights
Hollywood
Pacific
Palisades
5
13
1
Echo
Park
11
Century
City
Jefferson
Park
14
Boyle
Heights
10
Historic
South-Central
Venice
9
8
Playa
Del Rey
Pacific Ocean
Watts
Harbor
Gateway
15
California
San
Pedro
Los
Angeles
5 mi
5 km
$25K
50K
75K
100K
200K
Sylmar
Chatsworth
7
Tujunga
District
12
6
Van
Nuys
3
North
Hollywood
Woodland
Hills
2
Encino
4
Bel-Air
1
Hollywood
5
13
14
Pacific
Palisades
Century
City
Boyle
Heights
10
9
Historic
South-Central
Venice
11
8
Watts
Pacific Ocean
Harbor
Gateway
15
California
San
Pedro
Los
Angeles
5 mi
5 km
“Part of what was happening is we were in the midst of a global uprising, so keeping our eyes on what hands were moving behind the scenes became — we were kind of overwhelmed,” said Melina Abdullah, a professor of Pan-African Studies at California State University, Los Angeles, and a Black Lives Matter organizer who has been pushing for police budget reallocations for years. “We’re definitely going to keep a much closer watch, and exert even more pressure for the next budget cycle.”
After cancelling a planned increase to police department funding in late June and setting a goal of cutting its budget in half eventually, Oakland, California, formed a community-led Reimagining Public Safety Task Force to recommend further budget changes by April 2021. There’s tension over what that future looks like: A letter signed by five Black task force members from the flatlands of Oakland, a collection of neighborhoods with the highest 911 call rates and homicide rates, highlighted the need to agree on and fund effective alternatives before making further cuts to the police.
Budgets aren’t the only needles that were moved by last year’s protests. Already, city leaders have faced political consequences—either for their receptiveness to calls for reform, or their resistance.
Budget:
General
Police
Fiscal year:
2020
2021
$1.6B
$1.5B
$409.0M
$363.0M
22.5%
of general budget
In Seattle, Carmen Best, the first Black woman to lead the city’s police, resigned in August over plans to cut the department’s budget and eliminate as many as 100 officers. Mayor Jenny Durkan, who was assailed by city council members and activists for the police response to the protests during the summer, announced she would not seek reelection months later, citing a desire to focus on the problems facing Seattle rather than a campaign. And the entirety of Minneapolis’s city council will be on the ballot this year, meaning their records in 2020 will be scrutinized by voters on both sides of the ideological divide.
Other cities were more resistant to demands to defund the police: 26 of the 50 largest cities raised their police spending for 2021. But regardless of motivation, several cities were forced to make across-the-board cuts because of budget shortfalls driven by the financial impact of the pandemic.
Denver cut its police department budget by $25 million, at a similar proportion to other departments, because of the pandemic. The city has also been able to prioritize investing in police alternatives with money from ballot initiatives, including a pilot program for a roving mental health response team and a co-responder program for riskier mental health calls.
Budget:
General
Police
Fiscal year:
2020
2021
$1.5B
$1.3B
$254.0M
$229.0M
17.2%
of general budget
“This is not an ‘or.’ This is not, ‘fund the police department or fund mental health.’ It is an ‘and,’” said Denver Police Chief Paul Pazen. “Taking from one and assuming that that’s going to solve issues is not the answer from my perspective.”
In any budget, however, there are trade-offs that eventually have to be made—even moreso now that coronavirus has damaged the fiscal health of even the wealthiest cities. Groups like the National League of Cities and the U.S. Conference of Mayors have spent months petitioning for aid to local governments, arguing that failing to provide it puts public safety funding at risk. Biden and Congressional Democrats have signaled state and local aid is a priority as well.
Just as the coronavirus has impacted policy decisions by stressing city budgets, the pandemic’s economic devastation has contributed to a spike in violent crime in some cities. Police chiefs, including Denver’s Pazen, and public dissenters to police reform have leaned on those statistics as proof that cutting back on police would be a threat to public safety.
However, this year’s spike in violent crime in many cities across the U.S. predated the protests and cuts to budgets. Indeed, there’s debate over the benefits of having more police; hiring more officers doesn’t necessarily translate to less crime, according to Georgetown’s Lopez. Cities like Tampa, Florida, have seen spikes in crime despite increases in police spending.
And as evidenced by the Jan. 6 insurrection, having a police presence isn’t a guarantee of results. Images emerged last week of rioters reaching House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s office and the Senate chamber as some officers stood by. Other events, like Trump’s summer photo-op with a Bible at St. John’s Episcopal Church and a largely peaceful summer protest in New York City, saw demonstrators met with tear gas, beaten with batons and mass arrests.
During the Trump administration, the federal government has deferred to police forces and resisted pushing local departments to reform. Trump’s Justice Department didn’t enter into any federally mandated settlement agreements with departments over policing during his term, while Trump himself derided those who were protesting against racism and police brutality during the summer. In 2018, then-Attorney General Jeff Sessions issued a memo suggesting that federal interventions into local police departments are an overreach and should be used only in limited circumstances.
There is an opportunity for that to change with the Biden administration, said Lopez. The federal government could incentivize and finance novel alternatives to police so that local governments don’t have to take zero sum approaches to budgeting.
“It’s not clear to me how innovative the Biden administration is going to be on this front,” Lopez said. “The moment is right for them to be funding very different approaches to public safety problems.”