How Does Egypt Move Forward From Mursi's Removal?

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July 4 (Bloomberg) -- Jane Kinninmont, senior research fellow at Chatham House, discusses the government transition in Egypt, how elections may proceed and lays out some of the challenges the country's next leader will face. She speaks on Bloomberg Television's "The Pulse."

The elected president was overthrown.

It was announced by the military they have suspended the constitution.

By all definitions i can find it is a coup.

But the public does not want that.

How does the situation evolved from here?

There is a transition plan laid out by the head of the military.

A transitional government.

Something that is: -- coalition- based with technocrats.

They will then be a new presidential and parliamentary election.

But they have not given a precise date yet.

We are absolutely sure we will go back to elections?

It is likely.

Since the end of the cold war there have not been many coups that have installed a military government that remains.

They will be lots of pressure from the street and international donors to hold elections.

Whoever is the next president will be well aware its previous two predecessors were ultimately unseated by the military.

He will have red lines he will need to abide by.

They have had an inability to generate and coalesce around single candidate's, single parties.

Do you think -- do you think we are having a more even approach to elections when they happen?

Do you think we will have a more balanced approach more representative of what the people desire and want?

You will have quite a fragmented political scene.

We have seen a great show of opposition to mursi, but the groups against him are not united.

Some are for the previous regime, some are liberals, some are salafists who feel his interpretation of islam is not enough.

You are likely to have coalition governments that are perhaps not terribly decisive.

Are you concerned about civil war?

We do not exactly know how the muslim brotherhood will react to this.

It has only been a year.

They do not have the ability to take on the army.

It is partly the fears of civil war that have enabled the army to step in.

The muslim brotherhood does have a big number of supporters.

We will see very large street protests as attempts to disrupt the transition.

The stock market is up because investors are hoping we will see more stability now.

The picture you're painting for me is not one of stability.

It is one of fragmented politics, weak coalition governments that have an inability to get to grips with the incredible challenge the economy represents.

That is not a long-term story that is a particularly good one.

It is concerning.

Probably a new government would not be strong enough to take dramatic decisions such as nationalizing investment and so forth.

But the military does not tend to have a debt to economic management.

The imf is probably -- thank you so much for all of that.

It certainly looks like a very complex and, at the moment we do not really know the timeline or

This text has been automatically generated. It may not be 100% accurate.


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