How the S&P 500 Survived the 'Four Horsemen'

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Aug. 19 (Bloomberg) -- Barry Bannister, an equity strategist at Stifel Nicolaus, discusses his forecast for the S&P 500 Index with Pimm Fox on "Taking Stock." (Source: Bloomberg)

Of the apocalypse to actually explain your bullish forecast for the s&p 500? it is metaphorical but if you think about it, the white horse is conquest.

Have a conquered deflation?

The red horse is war and we have seen a lot of that in the world.

The black course is famine and economic disparity and imbalances.

The great horse is definite but let's not call it that -- it is a bear market.

Quacks but all of these elements together and that set your target at where?

2300? 6% down beside -- that is good risk and reward so i will tilt towards your end being about 2300 on the s&p 500. a lot of gains made in the last several months.

What is the detail behind this analysis?

Doesn't have to do with corporate earnings or investment behavior?

If you have a low nominal rates as well as low real rates, would you find is that from those who market return.

By the time the economy is getting better, stocks may very well be finished with a lot of their moves.

You have to get in as they are going up.

We have had a great move but this year come i've seen more ink spilled -- about a 6% gain year to date then i saw last year with a 30% move.

If you are an investor and sees this aggressive stock?

Collects you have a good year and a half laughed to.

Worry about it.

Whether they succeed or don't, we could be in a tight spot either way.

Bond prices, what do you think?

The 10 year yield -- we have said this all along.

We will be in the 2.5% range for most of the year.

If you look at the rates sensitivity of fixed investment, fixed investment -- housing and capital spending -- that'll do well when you move rates by 20%

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