Campaign Wrap: Cruz, Trump Poised for Indiana Showdown

King of New York: What’s Next For Donald Trump?

After Donald Trump’s resounding win in N.Y., both he and rival Ted Cruz are eying Indiana as the next key battleground that could determine whether the GOP presidential race is wrapped up before the national convention.

  • National Review reports that the Cruz campaign has prioritized Indiana’s May 3 primary, looking past the 5 northeastern states that vote next week
    • Cruz’s advisers think that if he can grab most of Indiana’s 57 delegates, they have a much better chance of blocking Trump from reaching 1,237 delegates before July’s convention
    • The campaign is hoping to replicate its success in Wisconsin, though the conservative infrastructure that helped boost Cruz in that state isn’t replicated in Indiana
  • New York Times reports that whether Trump reaches 1,237 may come down to how well he performs in Indiana and then in California on June 7
    • Analysis assumes Trump does well in next week’s 5 primaries while suffering losses in rural Western states that have yet to vote and where Cruz will be favored
  • Trump, who has hired new advisers who are reshaping his campaign strategy, is holding a rally in Indiana today
  • Trump met today with the state’s conservative governor, Mike Pence, who hasn’t endorsed in GOP race; also attending was New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, who endorsed businessman after ending his own presidential bid
    • Cruz to meet tomorrow with Pence, a former House member who once considered White House run
  • New York Times notes no reliable polling has yet been done in Indiana and, complicating predictions, the state doesn’t require voters to register by party
    • Its preponderance of white working-class voters plays to Trump strengths
    • But a large bloc of evangelical voters works to Cruz’s advantage
  • Club for Growth Action super-PAC plans to spend $1 million in Indiana on anti-Trump ads, Indianapolis Star reports

ON THE TRAIL

Hillary Clinton weighed in on the Treasury Department’s decision to replace Andrew Jackson with Harriet Tubman on the $20 bill

  • She tweeted: “A woman, a leader, and a freedom fighter. I can’t think of a better choice for the $20 bill than Harriet Tubman”

Bernie Sanders’ aide Tad Devine said on CNN that the campaign is farther behind in delegates than hoped in its battle with Clinton

  • “We lost a few more delegates yesterday than I thought we would, we’re a little farther behind in delegates than we hoped to be,” he said in aftermath of Clinton’s strong showing in the New York Democratic primary

Trump told Fortune he may replace Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen if elected

  • “I don’t want to comment on reappointment, but I would be more inclined to put other people in,” he said
  • Washington Post reports Trump campaign memo describes him as “prohibitive favorite” for GOP nomination who will go into convention with at least 1,400 delegates

Cruz said at a campaign event in Hershey, Pa., that Trump is trying to act like “the race is over” and convince voters that “Pennsylvania is a suburb of Manhattan,” Politico reports

  • Pennsylvania is among states with April 26 primaries, and Cruz said he’s going to do well there

John Kasich tweeted “Now that Cruz is now mathematically eliminated, the only diff between him and Kasich is Kasich can defeat Clinton,” echoing a take on the New York primary that his campaign pushed last night

  • Not enough delegates left to be picked for Cruz to lock down nomination through primary wins

 

ADS

Clinton campaign released ad to air in Connecticut and Rhode Island that features daughter of Sandy Hook victim

  • “No one is fighting harder to reform our gun laws than Hillary Clinton,” says Erica Smegielski, daughter of school principal killed in 2012 shooting

 

ENDORSEMENTS

RNC Chair Reince Priebus met with the House Republican Conference this morning to discuss the nominating process, Politico reports

 

CAMPAIGN FINANCE

Clinton super-PAC Priorities USA raised more than $11 million in March, donors have committed another $49 million in coming months, CNN reports

  • Group has raised more than $67 million total

Cruz has $9 million in bank as of end of March, campaign manager Jeff Roe told reporters

  • Earlier, his campaign said he raised $32 million in 2016’s 1st quarter of 2016

RNC raised $11.5 million in March

 

POLLS

CT: Clinton leads Sanders 51%-42%, according to Quinnipiac University poll

  • Among Republicans, Trump at 48%, Kasich 28% and Cruz 19%
  • NOTE: State holds April 26 primary

PA: Clinton has 52% support to Sanders’ 39%, Monmouth Poll finds

 

ETC.

CNN reports that one of Clinton’s talks at Goldman Sachs focused on global macroeconomics and wasn’t critical of firm

  • Appearance in 2013 was structured as conversation between Clinton and Goldman CEO Lloyd Blankfein, according to one attendee who wasn’t identified

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