Grimes Ahead of McConnell in Kentucky Bluegrass Poll

It's a 6-point swing to the Democrat since the last survey.

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Kentucky's Democratic U.S. Senate nominee, and Kentucky Secretary of State, Alison Lundergan Grimes speaks at the Fancy Farm picnic August 2, 2014 in Fancy Farm, Kentucky. With today's annual Fancy Farm picnic, a Kentucky political tradition, recent polls show Grimes and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) in a virtual tie.

Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images

Democratic challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes has moved ahead of Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell in a Bluegrass Poll released Monday.

The two-point lead in Kentucky is within the survey's margin of error, but could show a change in direction in a race where McConnell has led in most recent public polls.

Grimes, Kentucky's secretary of state, led 46 percent to 44 percent among likely voters. The numbers represent a 6-point swing to the Democrat since the last Bluegrass Poll was taken in late August.

Libertarian candidate David Patterson had 3 percent support, while 7 percent of likely voters said they were undecided.

McConnell's campaign called the poll an outlier. "We're very comfortable with where this race stands," spokeswoman Allison Moore said in a statement.

The poll was conducted by SurveyUSA for the Courier-Journal in Louisville, the Lexington Herald-Leader, WHAS-TV in Louisville and WKYT-TV in Lexington from Sept. 29 to Oct. 2 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. 

A polling average by RealClearPolitics.com that doesn't include this survey shows McConnell with a 5.4 percentage point advantage.

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